Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-08-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d331e3d5f177cb31b09e880a6216ede6edc42e0a96ebe7f1e8b22e1639ba236
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 33c | 9,095$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.68 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 67c | 3,945$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.87 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 66c | 3,195$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.91 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 34c | 2,723$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.66 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 66c | 2,706$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.57 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 2,551$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.07 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 67c | 2,046$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.96 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 35c | 1,449$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.01 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 67c | 1,058$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.14 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Yes | 34c | 651.56$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 21c | 601.27$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.55 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 22c | 532.44$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.81 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Yes | 6c | 508.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 26c | 447.05$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.15 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 32c | 352.27$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.73 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 343.28$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.66 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 21c | 299.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 7c | 224.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41de…deedbacked No | 57c | 192.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.74 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 65c | 173.64$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…ccc3backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 66c | 133$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 130.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 67c | 124.03$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 57c | 96.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 40c | 79.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 32c | 62.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc97…7172backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 71c | 58.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…5f4ebacked Yes | 44c | 45.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…ce9bbacked Yes | 44c | 45.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 28c | 42.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 57c | 40.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…d3dbbacked Yes | 33c | 34.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 42c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 67c | 31.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed No | 63c | 27.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 64c | 21.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 73c | 18.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 51 | 74.5%38 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 61c | 18.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 64c | 16.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-08-13?this page
- Will FK Austria Wien vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem end in a draw?No won
- Will MH Beitar Jerusalem win on 2026-08-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.