TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,071
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,071 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under36c11,532$4,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,134.492835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over40c10,500$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,299.9920054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d67…6b86backed Under58c8,588$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-50.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under60c8,404$5,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,043.2199933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x183b…b6e9backed Under0c6,827$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1f…1e14backed Under0c6,827$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-45.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over41c6,315$2,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,743.8483444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a8f…e5f5backed Over42c4,368$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,533.461040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c3,502$2,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,052.034,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Over65c2,822$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001618.8%3 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-60%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over42c2,000$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1704663%29 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over42c1,529$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.9857139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90b4…470dbacked Over54c1,417$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.691080%8 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+186.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb418…ef38backed Over55c1,369$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Under51c1,294$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over49c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-66%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51b3…3989backed Under56c1,192$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under47c1,166$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.921172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+66.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under37c1,111$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.861947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c1,057$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.823,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under57c1,019$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.118046.7%84 W · 96 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58069750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58075451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-70.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over43c999.94$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.9711822.9%27 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.933764.9%24 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29d2…7babbacked Under55c921$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.682924.1%7 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under1c850$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1160832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under3c832.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.115540.6%63 W · 92 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under5c831.34$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0510445.2%47 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over42c819.19$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.6664457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked Over53c792.45$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over63c694.43$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.941833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-34.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under7c628.86$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0113642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under4c627$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5983939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under4c616.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.87238.9%28 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Over55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.453638.9%14 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under43c544$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.419247.4%91 W · 101 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003540%14 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1903237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Under58c486.85$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over62c469.97$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.59966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb0…5390backed Over50c447.37$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.631241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over43c425.79$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.6519632.7%64 W · 132 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over44c400$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2243354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc357…3684backed Over63c396.58$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.58666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over42c384.75$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.9241751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c92…9627backed Over47c382.98$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over40c359.37$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.8723232.8%76 W · 156 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under57c350$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.55058%29 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under59c332.54$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6911154.1%60 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over43c328.72$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.391,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked Under59c321.66$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.351450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Under67c286$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Over33c273.5$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.381450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Under29c250$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.674951%25 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Under60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501080%8 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under43c231.74$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6614140.4%57 W · 84 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under57c205.05$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.882250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10842158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0bc2…077bbacked Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over55c196.23$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5233544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b1…f219backed Over52c193.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.591060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+40.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28b1…dc74backed Over43c186.05$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.05520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over43c182.3$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.15944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdfa…d143backed Under55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+49.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc92c…6f15backed Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ebe…8391backed Under58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40c4…49e4backed Over47c167.17$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under30c164.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8921139.8%84 W · 127 L-15.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over44c161.36$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3619461.9%120 W · 74 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over53c160.77$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9168450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93a4…6bdbbacked Under51c157.96$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5670%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f1…fee6backed Under51c150.22$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.11855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa28e…74a4backed Over43c139.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9152…abfbbacked Under68c132.95$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.83728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick65cpaid-55.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb511…e800backed Under58c132.24$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over43c132.08$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8844039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under57c125.09$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.751,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6ebacked Under58c124.14$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-66.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over42c115.31$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.881060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Over44c113.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.371353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over46c112.11$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.51850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+171.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under58c111$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0411253.6%60 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e93…80d6backed Over46c108.69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.032070%14 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick56cpaid+62.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.545450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over42c98.65$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.741,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under54c92.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over47c85.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0718842%79 W · 109 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x407c…4ba3backed Under57c82.16$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.831650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9bf…e5d8backed Under58c77$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.66850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25d1…173bbacked Over46c73$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.42825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-49.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc11c…b9b2backed Over44c70.45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.457100%7 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+107.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Under57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Under37c67.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa371…60c5backed Under61c65.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404045%18 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc28c…6fb2backed Under46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Over48c59.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.192254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.