La Liga · resolved market
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5b0a68f23f9a7911aa6607a3428119179e481d502ec673975d8e2132012c909
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ba2…1650backed Over | 46c | 10,887$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,886.63 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 2,140$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.92 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 1,937$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.25 | 653 | 56.5%369 W · 284 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 59c | 1,392$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.27 | 250 | 33.6%84 W · 166 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 54c | 1,267$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.98 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 46c | 1,190$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.07 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 1,180$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.42 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 42c | 1,155$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.97 | 1,017 | 33.4%340 W · 677 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 492 | 52.6%259 W · 233 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 54c | 913.2$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.13 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 54c | 486$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.44 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 48c | 304.97$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.94 | 412 | 39.1%161 W · 251 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 45c | 301.03$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.57 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…f3c8backed Over | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 204.48$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.81 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…5329backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…8011backed Over | 46c | 166.37$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 68c | 149.93$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Over | 46c | 106.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Under | 45c | 92.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Over | 75c | 90.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 83.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 448 | 40.4%181 W · 267 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 61c | 73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 45c | 65.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 205 | 33.7%69 W · 136 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d41…6a2ebacked Under | 37c | 63.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 45c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 56c | 54.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 71c | 51.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 56c | 49.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd726…a442backed Over | 46c | 47.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…5e79backed Over | 46c | 47.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 55c | 46.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x050a…49e4backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 55c | 43.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 693 | 50.2%348 W · 345 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…b01ebacked Over | 66c | 38.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 39c | 38.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 45c | 35.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c71…4fbabacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x776a…5349backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 54c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 54c | 26.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1988backed Under | 55c | 25.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…d971backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 226 | 53.5%121 W · 105 L | +18.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9001…4149backed Over | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5this page
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: Elche CF O/U 0.5Under won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: Elche CF O/U 1.5Under won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: Elche CF O/U 2.5Under won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 0.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 0.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)FC Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.