TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$141,644
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,584

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,644 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c24,348$7,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,239.794,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No71c21,000$14,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0907455.4%41 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes29c15,471$4,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,519.992,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No69c12,675$8,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,929.42445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Yes0c11,760$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.765836.2%21 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02b6…fbbbbacked No70c6,714$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,014.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No70c5,293$3,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.96357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes29c5,107$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.131,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes23c4,348$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012338.2%47 W · 76 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59e5…1cb4backed Yes22c3,318$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7232536%9 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No70c3,196$2,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.81566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes19c2,565$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.514427.8%40 W · 104 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes9c2,275$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2136643.9%29 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb952…3561backed No70c2,100$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x735b…acb1backed Yes30c2,093$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3808…b5b8backed No70c2,001$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ba…f2c5backed Yes30c1,993$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes27c1,929$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.5490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No70c1,633$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.935148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes23c1,271$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.2611331%35 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes10c1,034$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006920.3%14 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes9c861.77$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5360832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed No70c800$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Yes31c774.19$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5036…5540backed Yes6c666.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+9.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes30c648.72$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.3542851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes23c543.48$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12537829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e36…6ce1backed No70c475.71$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.71837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-41.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1249656.3%54 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes26c392.23$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.984440.9%18 W · 26 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+56.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No69c350$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.534252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Yes31c338.71$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-42%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9023947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b7…0ed5backed Yes21c261.19$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9330%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No80c239.31$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2535145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfabf…231cbacked Yes31c212$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.721450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1861…d25abacked Yes12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid+10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes15c204$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8515246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked No77c200$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.312944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406237.1%23 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed No68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6289050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505435.2%19 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes8c182.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514333.6%48 W · 95 L+11.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Yes29c177.09$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.362951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7e…4674backed Yes25c155.31$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.351315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes31c152.77$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3630749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Yes18c151.49$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes22c150$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339034.4%31 W · 59 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc5e…862cbacked Yes32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456346%29 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes14c150$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2114738.8%57 W · 90 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No69c144.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9332145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No70c135.91$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7711751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes31c130$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.38142%34 W · 47 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Yes31c127$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.374422.7%10 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes21c120$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.611541.7%48 W · 67 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa144…963bbacked Yes18c111.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2662744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No74c99.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2610752.3%56 W · 51 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes14c95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.34238.1%16 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes18c94.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710834.3%37 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7cc…2833backed Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes31c86.03$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.679840.8%40 W · 58 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed No70c85.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7112344.7%55 W · 68 L-11.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e46…75c2backed Yes18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfae3…9192backed No76c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.65100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b8f…c01dbacked Yes24c80$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3930%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes31c76.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.845034%17 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85f…7f69backed Yes31c75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.252740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes26c72.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.968732.2%28 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No71c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.311740.2%47 W · 70 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203528.6%10 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e3…b088backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes30c66.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202548%12 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x522f…79c2backed Yes31c65.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x49b8…1417backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012936.4%47 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00eb…339abacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes29c62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.251,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed No71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.345149%25 W · 26 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-19.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes28c52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.573339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…378cbacked Yes31c51.39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523455.1%129 W · 105 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520353.7%109 W · 94 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510754.2%58 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530956%173 W · 136 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7bd…616cbacked Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd25…01aebacked Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe0…e3e0backed No68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Yes26c49.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Yes30c47.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3627850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed Yes30c45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.511761.5%72 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed Yes30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1218564.9%120 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.