Champions League · resolved market
Will Celtic FC vs. LASK Linz end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fdaa89ffa84b67cb8e03a69432ef22da0351fd8e2939c3149883b27843b863e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 16c | 15,000$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked No | 76c | 9,699$7,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 2,513$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.12 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 76c | 2,038$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Yes | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 1,423$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.21 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 76c | 1,379$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.76 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 76c | 1,224$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.81 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 7c | 1,175$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.05 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 1,147$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.4 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 24c | 1,137$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.06 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed No | 76c | 986.84$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.84 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 78c | 640.99$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.28 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 76c | 474$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.76 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677d…4907backed Yes | 25c | 434.92$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f8…0108backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 24c | 394.17$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 76c | 338$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 326.11$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.52 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 76c | 267.53$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Yes | 24c | 250.27$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 246$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 246$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Yes | 24c | 210.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes | 17c | 136.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 24c | 102$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c11…48ffbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 24c | 99.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 23c | 84.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…99e6backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…09cebacked No | 77c | 74.01$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 70.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 24c | 66.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 24c | 66.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 24c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 54 | 75.9%41 W · 13 L | +10.4wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +34%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 22c | 52.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 80c | 51.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 46.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 25c | 44.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…de4fbacked No | 77c | 33.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 76cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…80d6backed No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e8…7e5cbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celtic FC vs. LASK Linz end in a draw?this page
- Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-19?Yes won
- Will LASK Linz win on 2026-08-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.