Champions League · resolved market
Will LASK Linz win on 2026-08-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3a3f1d19142be33948944388fdd39ca050fd998dc4d905dc64a7427aae45065
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 11c | 37,290$4,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,024.85 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 4,685$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.17 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 79c | 4,559$3,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.22 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…2a64backed Yes | 17c | 3,305$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba1…6aefbacked Yes | 36c | 2,196$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 12c | 1,993$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.55 | 394 | 43.1%170 W · 224 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…30aabacked No | 64c | 1,749$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.82 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f8…0108backed Yes | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…2e11backed No | 77c | 1,404$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 79c | 897.42$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 12c | 877.79$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.36 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 8c | 671.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 17c | 463.62$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.82 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Yes | 16c | 378.04$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 18c | 370.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab1…7df3backed No | 80c | 350$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 5c | 345.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe053…fd08backed No | 71c | 343.79$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes | 22c | 326.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 30c | 305.21$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.39 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 21c | 282.24$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 313 | 42.5%133 W · 180 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 17c | 275.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 78c | 259.37$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…31fbbacked No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 80c | 229.67$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 30c | 223.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed No | 80c | 202.5$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked No | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb3…c372backed Yes | 20c | 188.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 18c | 176$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 77c | 166.69$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 78c | 146.56$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -22.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Yes | 17c | 145.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 80c | 129$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 14c | 98.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…c94bbacked Yes | 18c | 97.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6171…4228backed Yes | 21c | 97.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…f80abacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed No | 80c | 89.93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 17c | 81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 18c | 80.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 433 | 33.5%145 W · 288 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 36c | 77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 18c | 76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 36c | 72.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked No | 69c | 72.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +6.7wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x908c…1026backed No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 70c | 57.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 64c | 54.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 59cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 20c | 49.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…200bbacked No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 79cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…de4fbacked No | 80c | 38.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 76cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…0f08backed No | 79c | 34.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed No | 79c | 32.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…abe8backed No | 77c | 28.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 79cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…6ff2backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa338…d810backed No | 77c | 14.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked No | 78c | 13.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.88 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd69…82f7backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d5…88eabacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LASK Linz win on 2026-08-19?this page
- Will Celtic FC vs. LASK Linz end in a draw?No won
- Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.