Champions League · resolved market
Will NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd27b2e849cc9276c58aa32c2c28937c8d3584c068db0ea9b820fcf9731e215d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 18c | 15,000$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,668.19 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 25c | 2,856$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 2,772$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.44 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 2,568$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.37 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 2,508$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.5 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f8…0108backed Yes | 26c | 2,310$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 75c | 1,810$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.5 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 12c | 1,724$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.56 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 75c | 1,520$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.95 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked No | 75c | 1,297$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 91 | 19.8%18 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 74c | 675$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 74c | 624.37$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.34 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 26c | 527.86$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.14 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 471.36$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.84 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 19c | 400.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee4…f899backed Yes | 13c | 349.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 75c | 337.62$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Yes | 17c | 300.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 266.89$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.64 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Yes | 26c | 263.38$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.43 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 251$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Yes | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 80c | 188.8$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 14c | 184.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 75c | 180$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…e5ddbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c11…48ffbacked Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed No | 75c | 133$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf166…fb37backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…1e03backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 25c | 99.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…5c3dbacked No | 75c | 81.33$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…892fbacked Yes | 26c | 80.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…99e6backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…996cbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929d…7ee3backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 75c | 74.12$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 27c | 71.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 75c | 59.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 144 | 54.9%79 W · 65 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…80d6backed No | 75c | 33.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…fcbbbacked No | 80c | 30.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 75c | 23.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 72c | 14.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +6.7wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?this page
- Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-19?Yes won
- Will NEC win on 2026-08-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.