Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3a562a248cedb92fa53593f68207de340f78adaeeb2bb85552acede861620b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 35c | 968.17$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.42 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 9c | 704.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 23c | 588.03$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.96 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20c…451abacked No | 74c | 526.41$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.83 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed Yes | 54c | 475.13$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.28 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f2…4fc0backed Yes | 30c | 390.15$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.58 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 21c | 385.14$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.46 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 26c | 364.38$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.44 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 11c | 278.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed No | 46c | 256.75$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.96 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2a…984dbacked Yes | 54c | 238.59$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 23c | 209.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…0f31backed Yes | 29c | 199.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3683…1bb0backed Yes | 30c | 183.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…6651backed Yes | 43c | 178.58$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.99 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 17c | 175.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 27c | 168.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 640 | 21.7%139 W · 501 L | -23.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 17c | 167.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x402d…5c07backed No | 75c | 154.42$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…1186backed No | 73c | 149.97$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…1d02backed No | 73c | 148.79$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 123 | 63.4%78 W · 45 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 79c | 142.1$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1f…493cbacked No | 73c | 134.49$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccf…2381backed No | 73c | 132.92$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 24c | 130.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 23c | 129.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 49c | 129.18$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 74c | 127.17$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…a003backed Yes | 23c | 124.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 36c | 122.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a7…9c23backed Yes | 19c | 120.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 178 | 38.8%69 W · 109 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 22c | 111.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 23c | 108.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 70c | 108.16$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 22c | 106.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…e722backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 26c | 95.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 30c | 95.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…43b3backed No | 68c | 94.37$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa722…0438backed Yes | 21c | 87.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 29c | 84.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 74c | 83.74$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a1…a453backed No | 72c | 77.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 31c | 75.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 22c | 72.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x90b7…148cbacked Yes | 27c | 72.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 28c | 69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8327…577dbacked No | 79c | 65.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa3…0d65backed No | 78c | 63.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes | 20c | 62.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 70 | 8.6%6 W · 64 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc941…a0e8backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…7e96backed Yes | 32c | 58.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked No | 77c | 57.88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd899…8e49backed Yes | 35c | 56.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e44…950fbacked Yes | 26c | 54.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 26c | 54.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 27c | 54.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0344…7f86backed Yes | 34c | 52.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc867…8b00backed No | 75c | 51.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…c294backed No | 72c | 51.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…cdddbacked Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed Yes | 34c | 49.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 298 | 35.2%105 W · 193 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…9c80backed Yes | 47c | 47.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f0…f424backed Yes | 30c | 46.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 68c | 45.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 72c | 42.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 70c | 41.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e5…c4bbbacked Yes | 28c | 37.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5e…a8cfbacked No | 74c | 36.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d48…3fdfbacked Yes | 38c | 35.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 72c | 33.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…6f96backed No | 80c | 31.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 123 | 74%91 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea1…d176backed No | 63c | 30.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 53c | 30.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3e…cefdbacked No | 75c | 25.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7b…bc29backed No | 80c | 24.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 146 | 66.4%97 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8063backed No | 72c | 24.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2a…ba61backed No | 65c | 22.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 64c | 19.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 64c | 19.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…5c20backed No | 80c | 18.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed No | 71c | 16.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ce…7f30backed No | 63c | 16.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 160 | 65.6%105 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…913fbacked No | 72c | 15.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 67c | 15.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabc6…acb4backed No | 70c | 15.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked No | 71c | 14.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 45°F or below on April 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on April 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 20?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.