MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc856b20f0beafe25829f4d541cabf220ca5b358821db8f1a9280c3578a77db7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Braves, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $238,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Reds | 49c | 23,478$11,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,504.25 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Braves | 52c | 19,388$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,387.8 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Braves | 51c | 19,172$9,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,354.49 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…f94fbacked Reds | 52c | 19,108$9,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,868.96 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Braves | 59c | 15,666$9,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,414.27 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Braves | 52c | 14,383$7,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,850.63 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Reds | 50c | 11,017$5,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,508.66 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Reds | 49c | 9,750$4,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,777.5 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Reds | 48c | 8,425$4,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,044.2 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Braves | 51c | 5,716$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.73 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Reds | 53c | 5,153$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725.35 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Braves | 54c | 4,815$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.8 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Reds | 49c | 4,574$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.26 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Reds | 47c | 4,118$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.29 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Reds | 51c | 3,169$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.59 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Reds | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Reds | 49c | 2,796$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.13 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Reds | 54c | 2,593$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Reds | 53c | 2,575$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.63 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Braves | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa922…aa8cbacked Reds | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…f9d9backed Braves | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c59…b1cebacked Braves | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…3592backed Reds | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Braves | 51c | 1,900$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…cc65backed Braves | 50c | 1,870$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Reds | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Braves | 49c | 1,500$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 47c | 1,343$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.58 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Reds | 65c | 1,343$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.75 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Braves | 50c | 1,077$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.53 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Braves | 51c | 1,035$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.74 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Reds | 50c | 1,007$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.26 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1c…5386backed Reds | 49c | 1,006$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Reds | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Reds | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Braves | 53c | 900$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Reds | 50c | 822$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Reds | 50c | 786.52$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.02 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb2…01b4backed Reds | 49c | 765.31$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Reds | 50c | 721.05$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.52 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Braves | 48c | 714$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.75 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739c…3b48backed Reds | 50c | 657$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff17…da9fbacked Braves | 51c | 656.86$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.86 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Braves | 53c | 643.25$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.33 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Reds | 50c | 523.76$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.36 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Braves | 51c | 510$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Reds | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Reds | 50c | 440$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…1467backed Reds | 36c | 437.03$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.45 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Reds | 50c | 402$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Reds | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Reds | 12c | 379.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Reds | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97b…388dbacked Reds | 49c | 350$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 47c | 350$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Reds | 47c | 304.46$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.46 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Braves | 52c | 303.71$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.78 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Braves | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Reds | 45c | 300$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.69 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Braves | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Reds | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Reds | 48c | 270.83$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2d…8b38backed Reds | 49c | 270$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Braves | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833d…faedbacked Reds | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 50c | 249.38$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.95 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Reds | 50c | 237.96$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.98 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Reds | 48c | 231.01$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Braves | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d8…8211backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Braves | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…0a62backed Reds | 48c | 193.75$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Braves | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Braves | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Reds | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Reds | 50c | 168$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Reds | 55c | 149.24$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Braves | 74c | 141$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Braves | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Braves | 51c | 126.92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.82 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x925f…3ccabacked Braves | 50c | 124$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Braves | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Braves | 51c | 113.14$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Reds | 47c | 113$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Reds | 47c | 110.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b7…1271backed Braves | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Reds | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Reds | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6721…8ff7backed Braves | 50c | 104$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Braves | 48c | 102.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Reds | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Reds | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.