TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Dodgers vs. Red Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dodgersof Dodgers, Red Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$895,297
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$921,711

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $895,297 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 485 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ee1…dae8backed Dodgers50c562,145$280,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281,878.876456.3%36 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Red Sox50c200,000$100,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,0009440.4%38 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox5c88,252$4,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,804.541,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Red Sox50c72,500$36,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,25048254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Red Sox50c70,900$35,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,45022852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Red Sox50c48,527$24,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,496.1160249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Red Sox50c44,013$22,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,040.6326949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Red Sox50c30,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00041850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Red Sox50c25,000$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,50086751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Dodgers50c22,626$11,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,225.5556451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Red Sox13c20,970$2,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,780.2297950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Red Sox51c20,187$10,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,295.260451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Dodgers49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,199.9953150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dae…f8b2backed Dodgers70c15,894$11,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,793.8813352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox37c13,078$4,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,815.339,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox49c12,731$6,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,185.961,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Red Sox35c11,814$4,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,136.6238444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Red Sox51c9,333$4,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,759.7535952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Red Sox51c8,902$4,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,540.0220850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Sox50c7,800$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9001,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f73…8d13backed Dodgers53c7,539$3,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,543.453953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox49c7,154$3,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,523.12,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Red Sox30c5,813$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.0615642.9%67 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Red Sox31c5,104$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.2854941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Dodgers51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45098149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Red Sox14c4,797$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.9493240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Red Sox11c4,665$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8d…2d03backed Red Sox52c4,571$2,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,376.77837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Dodgers50c4,300$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.9695850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Dodgers68c3,853$2,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+82.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Red Sox50c3,600$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80014446.5%67 W · 77 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Dodgers50c3,500$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.9813247.7%63 W · 69 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Red Sox38c3,222$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.6541747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Red Sox51c2,941$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50016551.5%85 W · 80 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Dodgers70c2,876$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.214966.4%99 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Dodgers57c2,748$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.326749.3%33 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Red Sox50c2,600$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30026453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Red Sox50c2,534$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.2212650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Dodgers49c2,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,27538249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Red Sox6c2,351$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.4343946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Dodgers48c2,316$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20423545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49d0…8503backed Red Sox52c2,308$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2003842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Red Sox47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.941,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Red Sox50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024553.5%131 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Red Sox51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02024248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Red Sox50c1,721$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.3617156.1%96 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Red Sox50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Red Sox40c1,580$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.7453448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62c6…55acbacked Red Sox49c1,483$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.910143.6%44 W · 57 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0667…42e1backed Red Sox8c1,131$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0713145.8%60 W · 71 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ab…fbb5backed Red Sox46c1,107$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.0916654.8%91 W · 75 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x674d…def3backed Red Sox51c1,019$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.6714444.4%64 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Dodgers67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.1211331.9%36 W · 77 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50092754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Red Sox51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5108156.8%46 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Red Sox51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51037446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Red Sox52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Red Sox27c901.23$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.886,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Dodgers50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40088549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Red Sox14c715.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Red Sox49c714$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.8673352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers50c652.22$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.2226651.1%136 W · 130 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Red Sox51c630$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.854048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Red Sox47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28233852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5f…005fbacked Dodgers75c598.84$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.572176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Red Sox51c588.03$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.91,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Red Sox51c505.31$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.715,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1275…5b87backed Red Sox43c500$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.1112924.8%32 W · 97 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Red Sox47c499.98$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.991,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22c7…ca3ebacked Red Sox13c456.66$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.696038.3%23 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Red Sox49c430$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.671,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox27c409.23$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.254,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Red Sox49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20034550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe11c…49efbacked Red Sox57c385.96$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22012949.6%64 W · 65 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Dodgers53c377.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.5422546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Red Sox53c376.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20063052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6297…337fbacked Dodgers49c354$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.542748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67fd…2b74backed Red Sox29c350.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016651.8%86 W · 80 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Red Sox52c350$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18218649.5%92 W · 94 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Dodgers61c326.31$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.6380680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Dodgers52c325.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4728453.9%153 W · 131 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Red Sox48c315$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.21,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Red Sox47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1412,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Red Sox33c298.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df3…f15abacked Red Sox39c254.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.337940.5%32 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Red Sox48c226.9$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9124253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Dodgers53c226.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4247348.8%231 W · 242 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb58…0e11backed Red Sox37c226.04$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1242955%236 W · 193 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c95…0a3abacked Dodgers48c221.99$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4311555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Red Sox49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Dodgers53c203.77$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7799951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a6…f48bbacked Dodgers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1009445.7%43 W · 51 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30be…3566backed Dodgers52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf7e…4b6fbacked Dodgers52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf716…c440backed Dodgers52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c2…0705backed Dodgers52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8a…1a07backed Dodgers52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5070…0039backed Dodgers52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9ee…7fb2backed Dodgers52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9752…bd2ebacked Dodgers52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963271.9%23 W · 9 L+7.0wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+46.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.