College Football · resolved market
Boston College vs. Michigan State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f1b4ef11e57392adbcb44d29caf19a227c04d7db313f2cf97abd4facb6c5753
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michigan Stateof Boston College, Michigan State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $379,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $398,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $379,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Michigan State | 61c | 32,035$19,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,348.02 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…13cbbacked Boston College | 40c | 24,551$9,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,774.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Boston College | 49c | 19,895$9,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,675.95 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Michigan State | 61c | 19,080$11,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,445.34 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Michigan State | 58c | 15,110$8,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,373.88 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Boston College | 46c | 13,679$6,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,292.5 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Michigan State | 61c | 12,548$7,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,852.51 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Michigan State | 61c | 10,552$6,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,134.77 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Boston College | 38c | 9,148$3,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,445.85 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Boston College | 41c | 7,971$3,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,246.96 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Boston College | 53c | 7,660$4,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,059.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Michigan State | 64c | 7,402$4,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.84 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Boston College | 40c | 6,375$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.98 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Michigan State | 60c | 5,697$3,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.8 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Michigan State | 53c | 5,514$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.48 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Michigan State | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Michigan State | 55c | 3,943$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.93 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Michigan State | 63c | 3,640$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.97 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Michigan State | 60c | 3,335$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.14 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Boston College | 50c | 2,816$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.06 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Boston College | 40c | 2,752$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.72 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Michigan State | 53c | 2,419$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.33 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Boston College | 43c | 2,406$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.05 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Michigan State | 39c | 1,897$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.75 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Michigan State | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Michigan State | 53c | 1,444$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.57 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Boston College | 42c | 1,371$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.43 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Michigan State | 60c | 1,050$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.5 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Boston College | 28c | 1,000$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.94 | 74 | 14.9%11 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Michigan State | 54c | 743.99$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Boston College | 38c | 727.79$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.77 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Michigan State | 60c | 713.55$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.93 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Michigan State | 53c | 634.27$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc0…4ce8backed Boston College | 37c | 546.81$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.32 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Michigan State | 62c | 546$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.95 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755c…7741backed Boston College | 45c | 517.63$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Michigan State | 68c | 498.91$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.3 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Michigan State | 61c | 492.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.93 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Boston College | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Michigan State | 57c | 365$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.64 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Michigan State | 65c | 357$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.36 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Michigan State | 31c | 323.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.65 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Michigan State | 58c | 314.41$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Boston College | 39c | 256$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed Boston College | 28c | 248.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Michigan State | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Boston College | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Boston College | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…0030backed Boston College | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Michigan State | 61c | 190.89$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.08 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Michigan State | 60c | 190$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.48 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Boston College | 60c | 166.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Michigan State | 40c | 163.7$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.22 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Michigan State | 61c | 155.39$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Boston College | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Boston College | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1899…0ba3backed Boston College | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Michigan State | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed Michigan State | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 75cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Boston College | 26c | 122.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf71d…84acbacked Michigan State | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Michigan State | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc6…c3e4backed Michigan State | 33c | 108$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d34…08d7backed Boston College | 39c | 103.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Boston College | 20c | 100.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Michigan State | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Michigan State | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed Boston College | 49c | 93.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Michigan State | 57c | 88.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ac…4a3cbacked Michigan State | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Michigan State | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Boston College | 27c | 78.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Michigan State | 63c | 77.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Boston College | 39c | 63.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…e7bebacked Boston College | 42c | 60.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…289ebacked Boston College | 65c | 59.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3dd…6477backed Michigan State | 62c | 58.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1764…02f6backed Michigan State | 62c | 44.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Michigan State | 52c | 43.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Michigan State | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a03…6368backed Michigan State | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…d967backed Boston College | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Michigan State | 49c | 27.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Boston College | 39c | 25.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…d08abacked Boston College | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Boston College | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Michigan State | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston College vs. Michigan Statethis page
- Spread: Michigan State (-3.5)Boston College won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.