College Football · resolved market
Michigan vs. Oklahoma
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79ac17585bcf58c3c16179a84e8aec71a7a1acd43a64395995fe91e41149ec11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oklahomaof Michigan, Oklahoma
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $412,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $359,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $412,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Oklahoma | 63c | 66,242$41,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,733.66 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Michigan | 30c | 51,191$15,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,281.04 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Michigan | 10c | 39,623$3,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,962.26 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Michigan | 25c | 36,536$9,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,144.65 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Michigan | 37c | 33,218$12,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,452.01 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Michigan | 23c | 25,495$5,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,933 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Oklahoma | 73c | 19,873$14,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,318.75 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Oklahoma | 63c | 15,000$9,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,549.93 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Michigan | 37c | 14,333$5,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,297.73 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Michigan | 36c | 14,023$5,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,048.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Michigan | 10c | 11,678$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.62 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc0…4ce8backed Michigan | 1c | 9,304$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755c…7741backed Michigan | 12c | 9,300$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…0d03backed Michigan | 38c | 7,887$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Michigan | 37c | 6,595$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Michigan | 20c | 5,833$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.59 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Oklahoma | 63c | 5,708$3,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.89 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Michigan | 15c | 5,160$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Oklahoma | 65c | 4,882$3,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.71 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed Michigan | 29c | 4,574$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed Michigan | 11c | 4,547$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Oklahoma | 69c | 4,462$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.6 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Oklahoma | 75c | 3,846$2,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.25 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Michigan | 12c | 3,634$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.08 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Michigan | 37c | 3,201$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.5 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Michigan | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0344…a65ebacked Michigan | 38c | 2,486$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oklahoma | 80c | 2,482$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.72 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Oklahoma | 77c | 2,238$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.85 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Michigan | 10c | 2,100$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Michigan | 12c | 1,748$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Oklahoma | 60c | 1,739$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.58 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Michigan | 30c | 1,680$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.31 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Oklahoma | 64c | 1,585$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.13 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Oklahoma | 76c | 1,582$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.78 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Michigan | 15c | 1,334$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb366…c056backed Michigan | 38c | 1,315$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…7648backed Michigan | 38c | 1,306$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Michigan | 34c | 1,300$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Oklahoma | 65c | 1,200$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Michigan | 19c | 1,085$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.59 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Oklahoma | 61c | 999.99$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Michigan | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Michigan | 20c | 976.09$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.72 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Oklahoma | 65c | 950.18$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.92 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Michigan | 18c | 830.69$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.48 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Michigan | 9c | 802.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.71 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Oklahoma | 63c | 788.31$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.67 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Michigan | 35c | 750$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Michigan | 37c | 750$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Michigan | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Oklahoma | 65c | 714$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.11 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Michigan | 37c | 700$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Michigan | 37c | 679.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a03…6368backed Michigan | 13c | 583.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Michigan | 17c | 583.32$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Michigan | 35c | 573.44$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.66 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea3…0708backed Michigan | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Oklahoma | 62c | 537.5$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.25 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Michigan | 14c | 510.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked Michigan | 12c | 510.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed Michigan | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Oklahoma | 75c | 490.94$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Michigan | 21c | 476.49$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Oklahoma | 80c | 439$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf71d…84acbacked Michigan | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a4…42e1backed Oklahoma | 62c | 353.71$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4baf…b22bbacked Michigan | 17c | 340$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc1…9a12backed Michigan | 16c | 320$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -79%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Oklahoma | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…4c91backed Michigan | 38c | 316.07$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Michigan | 36c | 303.05$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michigan | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Oklahoma | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…e669backed Oklahoma | 64c | 296.09$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…23d9backed Oklahoma | 74c | 294.89$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.89 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Michigan | 11c | 293.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Michigan | 40c | 289.68$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.87 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bc…73b7backed Michigan | 36c | 277$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Michigan | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Michigan | 32c | 266.84$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.52 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3583…fa7abacked Michigan | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d61…fba4backed Michigan | 22c | 220$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Michigan | 37c | 202$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Oklahoma | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Michigan | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Michigan | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8e…0f12backed Michigan | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Michigan | 31c | 191.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Michigan | 37c | 168.11$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Michigan | 21c | 167.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Michigan | 13c | 160.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Michigan | 37c | 158.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162d…bd56backed Michigan | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Oklahoma | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Michigan | 34c | 151.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…5641backed Oklahoma | 65c | 146.51$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +152.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x582b…20afbacked Michigan | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x398a…5f84backed Oklahoma | 64c | 141.84$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Oklahoma | 62c | 136.48$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Michigan vs. Oklahomathis page
- Michigan vs. Oklahoma: O/U 46.5Under won
- Spread: Oklahoma (-6.5)Oklahoma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.