Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big Ten conference?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44ed6bf8c17fb1e1317c8555bceb6b1ba1acaac08214aa0fc199744144260895
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 51c | 1,439$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 42c | 765.09$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.73 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 59c | 598.31$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.78 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes | 29c | 477.75$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.92 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 32c | 370$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.38 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Yes | 35c | 352.19$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.06 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Yes | 50c | 281.83$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.13 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8026…2520backed Yes | 45c | 222$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b60…6ad0backed Yes | 45c | 222$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…fdb4backed Yes | 45c | 222$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…58cfbacked Yes | 45c | 222$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…8df9backed Yes | 45c | 222$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ae…7bb9backed Yes | 45c | 222$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a10…32fbbacked Yes | 45c | 222$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf193…2c4fbacked Yes | 45c | 222$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd3…bba8backed Yes | 45c | 215$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 52c | 212.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 41c | 194.32$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.27 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec7…b508backed No | 55c | 181$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…9cacbacked No | 55c | 181$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3d…c4abbacked No | 55c | 181$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…de21backed No | 55c | 181$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e9…b4c8backed No | 55c | 181$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cde…55abbacked No | 55c | 181$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…e089backed No | 55c | 181$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceac…3e94backed No | 55c | 181$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…8116backed No | 55c | 181$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f6…dc4ebacked No | 55c | 181$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff59…2330backed No | 55c | 181$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 76c | 167.82$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 51c | 142.81$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 56c | 99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 58c | 90.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d83…d1dabacked No | 49c | 87.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 15c | 83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 76c | 81.17$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 51c | 80.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9b…55bcbacked No | 28c | 78.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Yes | 74c | 75.31$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…05f7backed No | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 77c | 57.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…c1b4backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes | 72c | 46.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecb…87ddbacked Yes | 43c | 46.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed No | 26c | 42.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb91…f1edbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6b…007cbacked Yes | 78c | 39.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 56c | 33.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…b2b0backed Yes | 75c | 30.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88e…dceebacked Yes | 79c | 30.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…0e45backed Yes | 77c | 28.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…c006backed Yes | 75c | 27.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd30…0481backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…7b16backed Yes | 75c | 24.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54d…ab3dbacked Yes | 76c | 22.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bac…fb30backed Yes | 75c | 19.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big Ten conference?this page
- Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the ACC (Atlantic Coast Conference)?No won
- Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big 12 conference?No won
- Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big East conference?No won
- Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the SEC (Southeastern Conference)?No won
- Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Southern Conference (SoCon)?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.