WNBA · resolved market
Valkyries vs Lynx
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdec0a36f7654d22ebd760a97614766d6c39ad71e1e323eaabbd032cde7ac45f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynxof Valkyries, Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d22…cad9backed Lynx | 80c | 7,041$5,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Valkyries | 20c | 6,397$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.2 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lynx | 79c | 4,719$3,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.08 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Valkyries | 21c | 1,885$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.52 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lynx | 80c | 1,718$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.95 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Valkyries | 9c | 1,151$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.63 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Lynx | 80c | 950$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed Lynx | 79c | 780$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Valkyries | 20c | 766.79$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.36 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…75e1backed Lynx | 80c | 749.93$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Valkyries | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Lynx | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Valkyries | 15c | 482.26$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Valkyries | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Valkyries | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Valkyries | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Valkyries | 14c | 392.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc768…4532backed Valkyries | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Valkyries | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Lynx | 80c | 247$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Lynx | 80c | 216.51$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Lynx | 80c | 214.06$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Valkyries | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Lynx | 78c | 188$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d8…183ebacked Valkyries | 20c | 165$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b94…af72backed Lynx | 80c | 160$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Valkyries | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Valkyries | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Lynx | 78c | 137$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Valkyries | 20c | 109.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Valkyries | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Valkyries | 23c | 87.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Lynx | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Valkyries | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Valkyries | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Valkyries | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…5260backed Lynx | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Lynx | 79c | 30.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.