College Football · resolved market
Florida Atlantic vs. Florida International
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2aebb5759a8b910377bf7b7cea49a220a706f9d9cffa0d07ec3ff399ac1e3c87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Internationalof Florida Atlantic, Florida International
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Florida Atlantic | 47c | 9,396$4,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410.55 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Florida International | 54c | 7,413$3,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.68 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Florida International | 53c | 6,029$3,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.69 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Florida Atlantic | 46c | 4,273$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.35 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Florida International | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Florida Atlantic | 46c | 1,855$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.51 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Florida Atlantic | 46c | 1,417$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Florida Atlantic | 47c | 1,257$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.27 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Florida International | 56c | 1,003$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.31 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Florida International | 54c | 761.67$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.37 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Florida International | 54c | 734.45$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.37 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Florida Atlantic | 42c | 633.75$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.06 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Florida International | 51c | 606.39$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.13 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Florida International | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +14.8wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Florida Atlantic | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Florida Atlantic | 30c | 471.65$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Florida International | 74c | 470$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Florida Atlantic | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Florida Atlantic | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Florida International | 53c | 350$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Florida International | 53c | 346.77$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Florida Atlantic | 48c | 322.92$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Florida Atlantic | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Florida Atlantic | 3c | 311.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Florida Atlantic | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Florida Atlantic | 45c | 232.27$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.19 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Florida International | 52c | 225.76$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.36 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Florida Atlantic | 45c | 200.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.06 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Florida International | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Florida International | 53c | 127$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Florida Atlantic | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Florida International | 74c | 110$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Florida Atlantic | 42c | 109.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…261bbacked Florida International | 58c | 105.17$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77cd…5a13backed Florida Atlantic | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Florida International | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Florida International | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Florida International | 59c | 95.35$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc0…1f16backed Florida Atlantic | 48c | 79.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…b521backed Florida International | 54c | 77.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28a…bcd4backed Florida Atlantic | 49c | 75.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Florida Atlantic | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Florida Atlantic | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Florida International | 53c | 50.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Florida Atlantic | 44c | 49.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…d029backed Florida Atlantic | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…94d4backed Florida International | 54c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Florida Atlantic | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e1…d30abacked Florida Atlantic | 62c | 24.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.