TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,120
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,557

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,120 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over55c9,020$4,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,082.668,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Under51c8,091$4,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,126.4828241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over49c6,624$3,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,372.764948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d53…eb1abacked Under52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.994362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under32c1,659$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.591,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under46c1,198$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.565349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c1,078$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.591,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under26c1,006$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.3230551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over58c917$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.5993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over52c891.4$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.48844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under44c868.43$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.011,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under54c843.97$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.755937.3%22 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Over70c799.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402763%17 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Under30c691.66$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.54254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under10c609.25$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9352150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Over71c599.99$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1745971.2%42 W · 17 L+10.3wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Over49c510.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.220851.4%107 W · 101 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under47c505$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.3511946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under50c500.94$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.110944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under47c476.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.891,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over29c399.02$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.5525954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x91e8…f1abbacked Under75c369.59$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.76425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick70cpaid-64.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Over51c365.43$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.8818853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over25c351.92$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.9479650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under61c276.75$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.8268838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over53c198$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.082,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over43c196.81$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.2176653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under48c184.46$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Over50c162.78$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.921384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+48%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Under72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Over46c138$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2225944%114 W · 145 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under50c110.97$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6225340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over57c110.4$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.681,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d1…ee7abacked Under34c105.56$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361957.9%11 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+101.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdeae…523dbacked Under28c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.54946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa596…15e9backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508246.3%38 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc6…4593backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133d…bcb8backed Under46c98.53$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-52.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over71c95$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.19956.6%56 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over55c86.58$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3752861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7660250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2284…e326backed Over68c73.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.031662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Under30c60.36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1112055.8%67 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x815b…a1c7backed Under69c57.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under47c57.72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.136636.4%24 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over28c57.24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0519548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Under28c54.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1912150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over28c52.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.231,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under47c49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0310941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4fe…b350backed Under69c46.68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2121243.9%93 W · 119 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Under37c45.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.814931.5%47 W · 102 L-18.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-36.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7b95…5733backed Under29c45.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.061963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under61c45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4571752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under40c44.83$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9136045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under31c43.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5515662.8%98 W · 58 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Under50c39.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7110061%61 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Under32c37.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7710152.5%53 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed Over70c33.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.12334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over31c32.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6855444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x738e…dc37backed Over52c31.41$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.065536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ed…d971backed Over65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed Over49c28.57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.578332.5%27 W · 56 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc416…38d9backed Under70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1788…aa80backed Under72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1992…30e2backed Under48c27.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.135839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over66c26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8116867.3%113 W · 55 L+13.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba5e…e6cebacked Over72c24.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.11080%8 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+74.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Over52c22.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1116659.6%99 W · 67 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee9…f7acbacked Over60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810150.5%51 W · 50 L+10.1wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4023…5746backed Over56c19.58$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.67837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over68c18.6$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0314464.6%93 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46da…724ebacked Under69c15.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Over75c14.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5818444.6%82 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.