TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Kamilla Rakhimova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jessica Pegulaof Jessica Pegula, Kamilla Rakhimova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$193,021
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$229,663

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,021 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c50…e0c9backed Kamilla Rakhimova15c13,349$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00042131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Kamilla Rakhimova11c12,325$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.7952844.7%236 W · 292 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Kamilla Rakhimova11c12,021$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.064,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Kamilla Rakhimova11c7,946$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.0633235.2%117 W · 215 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Kamilla Rakhimova1c5,715$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405541.8%23 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Kamilla Rakhimova10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50037738.2%144 W · 233 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Kamilla Rakhimova2c4,203$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.174,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Kamilla Rakhimova11c4,172$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.9333037.3%123 W · 207 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Kamilla Rakhimova1c3,759$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.491,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x162d…8944backed Kamilla Rakhimova5c3,141$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17013134.4%45 W · 86 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Kamilla Rakhimova18c2,584$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.171,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Kamilla Rakhimova11c2,486$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.222,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Kamilla Rakhimova17c2,028$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35027732.5%90 W · 187 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b1…aca9backed Kamilla Rakhimova12c2,022$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.2640%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Kamilla Rakhimova1c1,879$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.218932.3%61 W · 128 L+0.7wins0.00per pick32cpaid+496.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Kamilla Rakhimova10c1,823$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.371725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kamilla Rakhimova8c1,798$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Kamilla Rakhimova11c1,140$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.361,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Kamilla Rakhimova5c1,057$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.932,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kamilla Rakhimova7c953.72$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.658,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Kamilla Rakhimova11c738.75$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.061,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Kamilla Rakhimova5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060158.6%352 W · 249 L+2.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c57…a7debacked Kamilla Rakhimova4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010647.2%50 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Kamilla Rakhimova4c499.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20543.7%2 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick4cpaid-38.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Kamilla Rakhimova11c493.93$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.931,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Kamilla Rakhimova10c463$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.161,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc7b…c4ebbacked Kamilla Rakhimova11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508810.2%9 W · 79 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54d5…77d4backed Kamilla Rakhimova6c411.11$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Kamilla Rakhimova12c400$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4835938.2%137 W · 222 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Kamilla Rakhimova12c347.74$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7344527.2%121 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7596…f13abacked Kamilla Rakhimova17c323.53$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559340.9%38 W · 55 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x398f…30f2backed Kamilla Rakhimova5c315.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.216941.4%70 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Kamilla Rakhimova5c258.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1691051%464 W · 446 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34d…9816backed Kamilla Rakhimova12c249.79$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.833619.4%7 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x083c…65f2backed Kamilla Rakhimova11c232$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.524645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68a0…7513backed Kamilla Rakhimova12c207.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.368338.6%32 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…5cd6backed Kamilla Rakhimova9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1818731%58 W · 129 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x280f…ad6abacked Kamilla Rakhimova12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012851.6%66 W · 62 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424c…8580backed Kamilla Rakhimova7c153.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.223053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+59.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Kamilla Rakhimova11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1537444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x467a…80f6backed Kamilla Rakhimova10c134.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.49450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Kamilla Rakhimova10c134.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.462,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed Kamilla Rakhimova11c128.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1618356.3%103 W · 80 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Kamilla Rakhimova11c123$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.531,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Kamilla Rakhimova14c122.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.191,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe935…3991backed Kamilla Rakhimova11c116$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.764240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed Kamilla Rakhimova12c110$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.238911.6%45 W · 344 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0a…ea32backed Kamilla Rakhimova10c104.82$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.543618.3%80 W · 356 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Kamilla Rakhimova11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1123742.6%101 W · 136 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Kamilla Rakhimova11c99.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1193945.5%427 W · 512 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee3…2e6abacked Kamilla Rakhimova13c83.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.929945.8%137 W · 162 L+20.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.