Tennis · resolved market
ITF Astana: Alibek Kachmazov vs Maan Kesharwani
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9d0f9b286bb558f4a39776dc51d9dd043e7a0dea3ff2e2580d6068ccda0892d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maan Kesharwaniof Alibek Kachmazov, Maan Kesharwani
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alibek Kachmazov | 59c | 5,837$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440.46 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Maan Kesharwani | 44c | 2,534$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.04 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maan Kesharwani | 36c | 1,399$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.76 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Maan Kesharwani | 39c | 1,217$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.66 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Maan Kesharwani | 44c | 701.26$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.95 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Alibek Kachmazov | 59c | 526$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.85 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Maan Kesharwani | 66c | 458.18$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.98 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Maan Kesharwani | 39c | 429$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.63 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alibek Kachmazov | 62c | 373.78$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.28 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Maan Kesharwani | 40c | 327.18$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.76 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maan Kesharwani | 37c | 299.39$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.34 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7e67backed Maan Kesharwani | 48c | 278.02$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.02 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +10.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Alibek Kachmazov | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Alibek Kachmazov | 59c | 186.8$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.18 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Maan Kesharwani | 40c | 181$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Maan Kesharwani | 38c | 157$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.59 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Maan Kesharwani | 42c | 148$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.24 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Alibek Kachmazov | 50c | 140.63$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Maan Kesharwani | 9c | 130$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Alibek Kachmazov | 61c | 102$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…e58cbacked Alibek Kachmazov | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Maan Kesharwani | 46c | 99.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Maan Kesharwani | 40c | 99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Alibek Kachmazov | 45c | 93.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Alibek Kachmazov | 58c | 90.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Alibek Kachmazov | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Alibek Kachmazov | 65c | 49.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Alibek Kachmazov | 58c | 47.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5689…ac69backed Alibek Kachmazov | 49c | 40.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…e2eabacked Alibek Kachmazov | 45c | 32.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Alibek Kachmazov | 54c | 30.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.