Tennis · resolved market
Wuxi: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Tianhui Zhang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x685600476f3e07dd766b0e1b9d0260e79eb9e6a278f10203c169cdba433bdda2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mikhail Kukushkinof Mikhail Kukushkin, Tianhui Zhang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tianhui Zhang | 13c | 3,934$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.45 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Tianhui Zhang | 6c | 2,543$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tianhui Zhang | 7c | 2,154$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.11 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…a3e3backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 74c | 1,922$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.82 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tianhui Zhang | 27c | 1,252$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.66 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Tianhui Zhang | 7c | 1,200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Tianhui Zhang | 5c | 1,119$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Tianhui Zhang | 5c | 881.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Tianhui Zhang | 24c | 746.93$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.22 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa838…bccebacked Mikhail Kukushkin | 70c | 714.28$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.28 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Tianhui Zhang | 3c | 529.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Tianhui Zhang | 6c | 491.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Tianhui Zhang | 5c | 394.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Tianhui Zhang | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tianhui Zhang | 11c | 265.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Tianhui Zhang | 10c | 222.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Tianhui Zhang | 19c | 211.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…1f49backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 75c | 166.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 146 | 74%108 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 75cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Tianhui Zhang | 26c | 122.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Tianhui Zhang | 28c | 91.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 630 | 52.4%330 W · 300 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 75c | 84.15$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Tianhui Zhang | 20c | 73.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Tianhui Zhang | 16c | 70.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Tianhui Zhang | 20c | 63.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 315 | 63.5%200 W · 115 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 69c | 31.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 283 | 48.4%137 W · 146 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…5eeabacked Mikhail Kukushkin | 77c | 25.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 230 | 73.9%170 W · 60 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 78cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wuxi: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Tianhui Zhangthis page
- Kukushkin vs. Zhang: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.