Token Launches · resolved market
Will $cult launch in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7efb38573e83c72d9c96e12b22463d7b98e276641cef0477d5aa98416d27f4fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 1c | 9,824$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed No | 1c | 4,819$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 5c | 4,378$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.17 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +272.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8f…1c23backed No | 29c | 3,447$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…1338backed Yes | 79c | 3,236$2,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.98 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…e6dbbacked No | 6c | 3,200$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…6ff1backed Yes | 75c | 2,124$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…50aebacked Yes | 15c | 1,588$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 17cpaid | +225.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 25c | 1,490$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.85 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898c…90e9backed No | 16c | 1,435$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e9…de83backed No | 23c | 1,389$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…39bcbacked Yes | 80c | 1,174$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 20c | 1,151$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.23 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe899…0899backed Yes | 76c | 1,103$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa57a…66d6backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fda…bd72backed No | 12c | 831.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed No | 22c | 650$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3857…6704backed Yes | 79c | 617.96$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 17c | 513.87$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.98 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1db1…35a9backed Yes | 68c | 450$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3c…bcebbacked No | 46c | 430.59$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fb…5517backed No | 24c | 424.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e76…ef4ebacked No | 25c | 400.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.26 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…8167backed Yes | 15c | 397.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.85 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +8.1wins | +0.63per pick | 14cpaid | +774.6%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x98dd…d898backed Yes | 45c | 387.1$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94aa…7626backed No | 35c | 370$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…a236backed Yes | 55c | 351.31$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc43a…820abacked No | 29c | 339.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bd…66c7backed No | 6c | 327.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb754…7463backed No | 26c | 324.45$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405e…de7ebacked Yes | 77c | 266.49$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2310…f418backed Yes | 78c | 254.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…bc7fbacked No | 24c | 230.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eee…da00backed No | 35c | 220.3$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked No | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…ab02backed No | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…333abacked No | 11c | 195$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 23c | 178.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 19c | 176$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…ab11backed Yes | 61c | 165.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…3180backed No | 15c | 159.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf322…3b19backed Yes | 65c | 153.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8b…1ea1backed No | 20c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 26c | 149.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb873…7999backed Yes | 69c | 145.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 23c | 142.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1142…57c3backed Yes | 71c | 140.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…d7abbacked Yes | 73c | 137.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 18c | 125.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe439…40f1backed Yes | 52c | 110.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x925a…3e7fbacked No | 38c | 110$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…bccebacked No | 35c | 103.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa411…64aebacked Yes | 75c | 102.01$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 12c | 98.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…d8dfbacked Yes | 66c | 97.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4df…7f8ebacked Yes | 77c | 97.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed No | 27c | 96.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 75c | 93.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…10b4backed Yes | 79c | 85.61$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58fa…5a5abacked No | 23c | 85.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…1385backed No | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…1c22backed No | 30c | 71.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b19…8237backed No | 36c | 69.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ee…5482backed Yes | 60c | 65.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ab…60f6backed Yes | 76c | 65.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e41…43e5backed Yes | 72c | 52.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4294…ee29backed Yes | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…5feebacked Yes | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…6234backed Yes | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c4…d1c7backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +226%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed Yes | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f0…4160backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…dfb2backed No | 62c | 48.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b2…277bbacked Yes | 73c | 47.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf9…4881backed Yes | 56c | 43.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035e…2e74backed Yes | 40c | 40.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…e912backed Yes | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb274…79dfbacked Yes | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ec…ab02backed Yes | 52c | 38.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3960…6216backed No | 29c | 37.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1960…ccf0backed Yes | 70c | 37.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…c368backed No | 47c | 36.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1387…d83bbacked Yes | 73c | 31.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8740…b10fbacked No | 37c | 30.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbce…c541backed No | 39c | 30.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42bd…4ff6backed Yes | 78c | 29.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked Yes | 75c | 28.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6634…b362backed Yes | 72c | 27.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a75…8a89backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6b…f255backed Yes | 50c | 24.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x957e…2b8cbacked No | 58c | 22.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f88…17ebbacked Yes | 72c | 21.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f51…da69backed Yes | 77c | 17.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…8424backed Yes | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62b…65fcbacked Yes | 77c | 13.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aff…052ebacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.