MLB · resolved market
Angels vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e52bcf9899fc15b4ef9ebb9275df8b8cc2ac119d6b942d6231dd1aaa237eeaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Angels, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed Angels | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Angels | 51c | 3,678$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.72 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers | 51c | 3,493$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.64 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Angels | 49c | 3,198$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.96 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Angels | 49c | 2,872$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.28 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Angels | 43c | 2,017$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.16 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Angels | 2c | 1,934$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Angels | 7c | 1,910$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.63 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Angels | 49c | 1,630$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.7 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Rangers | 51c | 1,630$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.7 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Rangers | 51c | 1,045$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.48 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rangers | 50c | 942.4$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.2 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Angels | 48c | 815.89$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.75 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rangers | 49c | 805.57$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.84 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Angels | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Angels | 51c | 665.16$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.23 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Angels | 49c | 616.45$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.06 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Rangers | 49c | 612$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rangers | 49c | 612$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.12 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Angels | 50c | 569.04$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.52 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Angels | 41c | 541.29$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.55 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Angels | 7c | 479$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Angels | 3c | 469.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Rangers | 51c | 450.32$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.66 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Rangers | 51c | 425.62$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.07 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Angels | 49c | 368$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.24 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Angels | 49c | 299.98$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Angels | 51c | 295$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.45 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rangers | 49c | 287$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.37 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Angels | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Angels | 49c | 249.72$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.07 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Angels | 49c | 204.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Angels | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Angels | 50c | 199.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Angels | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Angels | 17c | 172.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rangers | 51c | 164.71$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Rangers | 52c | 159.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers | 60c | 156.25$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Rangers | 48c | 149.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Rangers | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rangers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Rangers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3882…f15abacked Angels | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee58…4af3backed Rangers | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Angels | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Angels | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Angels | 51c | 83.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Rangers | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Angels | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Rangers | 49c | 78.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Angels | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…94d4backed Rangers | 49c | 73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 251 | 55.4%139 W · 112 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Rangers | 49c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Angels | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Rangers | 59c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Angels | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…71f1backed Angels | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rangers | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Rangers | 49c | 32.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041c…88c5backed Rangers | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…7dedbacked Rangers | 51c | 28.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c0edbacked Rangers | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 337 | 50.4%170 W · 167 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…b172backed Rangers | 49c | 21.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c6…fda4backed Angels | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…5e57backed Angels | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…113dbacked Angels | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d88…81a0backed Rangers | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Angels vs. Rangersthis page
- Angels vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.