CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: OG vs NIP (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x141113467811573e2637b53b344bab4c9d9cc16d73a702053f8a2266dff6ad07

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: NIPof OG, NIP
Resolved: Mar 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $28,896

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,896 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4572…83ffbacked NIP	67c	3,126$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,025.58	323	48.9%158 W · 165 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed OG	34c	2,150$731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$730.99	1,423	33.6%478 W · 945 L	+41.8wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed OG	20c	1,082$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.11	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb145…df85backed OG	11c	959.82$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked OG	24c	833.87$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.14	329	30.4%100 W · 229 L	-21.9wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NIP	71c	717.91$512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.85	6,501	42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L	-79.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked NIP	79c	694.11$547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.52	3,236	51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L	+88.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed OG	26c	592.72$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.84	298	31.5%94 W · 204 L	-16.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed OG	45c	559.38$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	988	56.1%554 W · 434 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked NIP	74c	552$409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.17	279	47.7%133 W · 146 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked NIP	79c	540.56$425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.54	789	63.8%503 W · 286 L	-2.5wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1197…8311backed NIP	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	43	58.1%25 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed OG	40c	496.43$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.6	419	60.9%255 W · 164 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed OG	56c	446.07$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.73	4,238	49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L	+60.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe9…c6dcbacked NIP	38c	440$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.8	56	60.7%34 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked NIP	61c	424.61$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.82	454	50.2%228 W · 226 L	-12.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed NIP	35c	387.2$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.43	503	40.2%202 W · 301 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP	78c	381.11$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.54	7,990	50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L	+180.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc14d…f137backed OG	55c	366.86$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.04	81	46.9%38 W · 43 L	-8.7wins	-0.11per pick	58cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked OG	40c	339.33$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.08	260	46.2%120 W · 140 L	+6.9wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd761…56e3backed NIP	50c	335.43$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.22	247	46.2%114 W · 133 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed OG	36c	305.73$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.84	4,038	48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed OG	37c	301.22$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.48	140	37.1%52 W · 88 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked NIP	40c	250$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	434	37.6%163 W · 271 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked OG	36c	233.85$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.18	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc10a…46b5backed NIP	79c	220$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.61	81	66.7%54 W · 27 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed OG	57c	213.26$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.22	1,146	43.5%499 W · 647 L	-17.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked OG	26c	201.12$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.78	364	34.1%124 W · 240 L	-11.2wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked NIP	61c	200$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78	121	48.8%59 W · 62 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked OG	39c	200$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.9	535	45%241 W · 294 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed OG	36c	199.99$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	183	42.1%77 W · 106 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked OG	9c	192.47$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.42	5,580	47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L	+47.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed OG	25c	191$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.51	1,305	26.4%345 W · 960 L	-89.7wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7044…2eb6backed OG	60c	166.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	158	57.6%91 W · 67 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5818…44a3backed NIP	60c	166.55$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.62	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9851…1320backed OG	61c	163.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	128	48.4%62 W · 66 L	-11.3wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-28%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a4f…e6ffbacked NIP	63c	159$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.83	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed OG	37c	156.44$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.17	5,341	31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L	-390.7wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x78bc…5616backed OG	66c	148.1$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.57	49	59.2%29 W · 20 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d16…0abbbacked OG	24c	139.09$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.24	80	42.5%34 W · 46 L	-5.7wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-23%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed OG	31c	135$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.85	1,649	46.9%774 W · 875 L	-28.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf0…4046backed OG	57c	126$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.82	45	57.8%26 W · 19 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	64cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5201…0c88backed NIP	63c	125.4$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.4	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-3.2wins	-0.19per pick	54cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a61…588bbacked OG	24c	114.99$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.45	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed NIP	68c	98.12$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.17	80	66.3%53 W · 27 L	+4.2wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed NIP	78c	94.46$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.22	227	61.7%140 W · 87 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a80…3753backed OG	36c	91.87$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed OG	21c	90$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.49	452	24.3%110 W · 342 L	-52.4wins	-0.12per pick	36cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfc38…c3b4backed NIP	66c	88.85$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.21	339	50.7%172 W · 167 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed NIP	38c	88$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.56	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74e3…59cdbacked NIP	77c	87.16$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.7	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed OG	46c	86.96$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	275	56.4%155 W · 120 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65e3…4351backed OG	12c	86.9$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e0e…8763backed OG	63c	85.23$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.69	225	51.1%115 W · 110 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51b7…2fc7backed NIP	38c	79.98$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.59	434	42.2%183 W · 251 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked NIP	63c	79.69$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.69	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed OG	21c	73.23$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.38	368	45.9%169 W · 199 L	+15.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked NIP	62c	72.86$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.41	459	56.9%261 W · 198 L	+20.9wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3807…6ceebacked OG	19c	69.11$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.83	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked NIP	52c	53.67$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.73	406	52.2%212 W · 194 L	+22.4wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e46…8868backed OG	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab48…612dbacked OG	31c	48.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.97	95	57.9%55 W · 40 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6c4…d354backed NIP	38c	48$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.76	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.12per pick	57cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa442…d722backed NIP	38c	48$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.76	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3187…9476backed NIP	38c	48$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.76	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe980…57c9backed NIP	38c	48$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.76	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58ea…538dbacked NIP	58c	43.46$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	205	49.8%102 W · 103 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0e…13aabacked NIP	58c	42.45$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.83	156	38.5%60 W · 96 L	-19.6wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbb37…423cbacked OG	46c	41.43$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked NIP	62c	40.56$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.56	200	52.5%105 W · 95 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed OG	29c	39.05$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.33	2,102	16.8%353 W · 1,749 L	-286.5wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x7027…fababacked OG	40c	37.49$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	49	59.2%29 W · 20 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked NIP	55c	36.36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.36	261	55.2%144 W · 117 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked NIP	75c	36$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	149	50.3%75 W · 74 L	-10.4wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb17a…c30dbacked OG	29c	35.74$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.53	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca88…f303backed NIP	37c	34.84$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.8	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.63per pick	37cpaid	+167.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked OG	30c	34$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	3,267	45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L	-85.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked NIP	60c	31.66$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.66	1,051	57.2%601 W · 450 L	+17.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc393…590abacked NIP	63c	30.3$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.21	117	50.4%59 W · 58 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed NIP	69c	30.15$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.44	623	50.9%317 W · 306 L	+18.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked OG	37c	29.98$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.09	387	53.2%206 W · 181 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf35e…f846backed NIP	80c	27.5$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa391…dd32backed NIP	63c	25.18$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.44	88	61.4%54 W · 34 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed NIP	78c	14.58$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.19	333	52.6%175 W · 158 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: OG vs NIP (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsthis page
Counter-Strike: OG vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerOG won
Counter-Strike: OG vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerNIP won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: OG vs NIP (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event