Earnings · resolved market
Will DuPont de Nemours (DD) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0cf08310a9fa92e82a482249662e5088e01d77aba3dc48cf0cbc211f9293a4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 50c | 1,343$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.5 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 52c | 986.51$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.92 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…b463backed No | 36c | 481.44$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.99 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 19c | 470.01$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.69 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 37c | 424$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.74 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed No | 22c | 349.96$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.47 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 73c | 294.33$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.15 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…9a10backed No | 8c | 249.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.99 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 67c | 228.47$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.85 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a3…7739backed Yes | 67c | 179.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 62c | 178.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 62c | 159.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f4…bf68backed Yes | 65c | 153.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -8.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d7…3499backed Yes | 69c | 145.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…d4b3backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Yes | 76c | 132$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcad8…7cd2backed Yes | 74c | 129.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…e31bbacked No | 12c | 128.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.57 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 45c | 111.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3284…2786backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8598…199fbacked Yes | 62c | 98.58$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 31c | 93.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed No | 20c | 80$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 34c | 76.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 16c | 72.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5343…0b0fbacked Yes | 78c | 70$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 117 | 71.8%84 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d8…0af3backed Yes | 67c | 57.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a74…c3e4backed Yes | 79c | 51.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 38c | 44.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…6643backed No | 79c | 42.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 65 | 100%65 W · 0 L | +26.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 82+0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc2…687ebacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…7811backed Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…8fa9backed Yes | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…13b7backed Yes | 62c | 35.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c9…f262backed Yes | 72c | 30.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…2aaebacked Yes | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…b14ebacked Yes | 75c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf57…053bbacked Yes | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…c706backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cc…2fb0backed Yes | 73c | 23.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 65c | 23.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38cb…c581backed Yes | 72c | 21.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29fd…15b8backed Yes | 72c | 21.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…b14bbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.