MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80a3bce767b871e3e9fc7d088f671cf8977818231c22bebecb82da08c5da045d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Minnesota Twins, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $751,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $785,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $751,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Houston Astros | 55c | 231,886$127,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,537.55 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 228,986$102,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126,129.93 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Houston Astros | 56c | 181,821$101,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,819.66 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Houston Astros | 56c | 95,929$53,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,720.44 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 34,000$14,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,040 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Houston Astros | 56c | 18,271$10,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,231.76 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 16,667$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,166.66 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 57c | 13,644$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 10,206$4,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,755.94 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 54c | 10,044$5,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,398.94 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Houston Astros | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 8,764$3,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,853.2 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Houston Astros | 3c | 8,273$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.51 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,480 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 46c | 7,904$3,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,637.51 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 7,399$3,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,109.86 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Houston Astros | 29c | 6,139$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 5,799$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,247.57 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 5,323$2,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,034.25 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Houston Astros | 27c | 4,974$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.03 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 4,659$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.19 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Houston Astros | 4c | 4,049$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Houston Astros | 28c | 3,774$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.58 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 3,534$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.39 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 3,510$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.7 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 3,444$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.63 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 3,415$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.38 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Houston Astros | 57c | 3,300$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Houston Astros | 56c | 3,229$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.96 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Astros | 4c | 3,103$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.31 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 2,083$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.23 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Houston Astros | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Houston Astros | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 1,991$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.95 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 56c | 1,811$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.27 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Houston Astros | 1c | 1,477$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Houston Astros | 2c | 1,419$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,320$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.2 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 1,253$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.19 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed Houston Astros | 2c | 1,079$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 1.5%1 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Houston Astros | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins | 68c | 1,009$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.82 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,002$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.64 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Houston Astros | 10c | 905.68$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.11 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 894.22$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.76 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Houston Astros | 33c | 861.02$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.99 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 829.41$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.23 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 795.33$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.75 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 750$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.42 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…4555backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 741.69$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.35 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Houston Astros | 5c | 620.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Minnesota Twins | 72c | 617.67$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.63 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 608.07$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.52 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 555$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.8 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 540$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.4 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 528.21$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.8 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Minnesota Twins | 78c | 504.31$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.54 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 496.49$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.03 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Houston Astros | 51c | 495.2$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.55 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Houston Astros | 57c | 446.33$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.41 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 440$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.4 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Houston Astros | 33c | 430.8$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.58 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Houston Astros | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Houston Astros | 57c | 399.58$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.76 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Minnesota Twins | 68c | 371$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 363$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.28 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 340$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.4 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Houston Astros | 57c | 315.79$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Minnesota Twins | 70c | 290.93$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.53 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 286.11$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.7 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 280.51$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.28 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Houston Astros | 8c | 269.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 249.48$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 227.9$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.35 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…ea98backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 218.98$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.64 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Houston Astros | 9c | 212.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae41…73cfbacked Houston Astros | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.25 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 199$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.44 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 48c | 190.82$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.28 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Houston Astros | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…7398backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 180$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 655 | 42.4%278 W · 377 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 167.15$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.97 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Minnesota Twins | 69c | 166.64$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Houston Astros | 57c | 161.05$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 156.07$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 152$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 147.93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.84 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Houston Astros | 16c | 141.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e33…8732backed Houston Astros | 14c | 139$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -84%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 135.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.29 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 135.38$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 127.13$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.