CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb269488332047f5bcac1ca482ade23ce8ff8591349578917eecc11970b82a02c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, Voca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked M80 | 80c | 51,151$40,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,259.37 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Voca | 20c | 25,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Voca | 20c | 24,714$4,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,942.83 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Voca | 14c | 1,266$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.19 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed M80 | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.11 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Voca | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Voca | 24c | 500$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.35 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Voca | 22c | 444.44$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 44cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed M80 | 79c | 400.28$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.07 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d1…ba29backed Voca | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Voca | 7c | 312.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Voca | 21c | 299$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Voca | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed M80 | 66c | 184.79$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked Voca | 34c | 184.79$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.83 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed M80 | 78c | 148.72$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec05…054cbacked Voca | 22c | 78.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…af18backed Voca | 33c | 74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a09…c3a3backed M80 | 67c | 74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed M80 | 66c | 54.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Voca | 32c | 47.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…3152backed M80 | 79c | 35.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup 1 PlayoffsM80 won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 2 WinnerVoca won
- Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Voca (+1.5)Voca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.