TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Estral Esportsof Estral Esports, RED Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,080
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,911

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,080 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4916…5442backed Estral Esports69c7,648$5,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,340.164560%27 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed RED Academy25c5,091$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.7551044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Estral Esports75c4,272$3,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.8327353.1%145 W · 128 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Estral Esports77c3,583$2,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.371,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed RED Academy27c2,085$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.0786943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked RED Academy20c1,898$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.7375942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea4d…c654backed Estral Esports74c1,533$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.443154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked Estral Esports38c1,500$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.569248.9%45 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked RED Academy26c1,429$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.4190348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed RED Academy18c1,396$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.0964443%277 W · 367 L-27.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked RED Academy25c1,088$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.5914735.4%52 W · 95 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed RED Academy21c1,070$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.0936034.4%124 W · 236 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ac4…7310backed Estral Esports66c1,063$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35913854.3%75 W · 63 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed Estral Esports79c903$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.3264247.4%304 W · 338 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Estral Esports78c901$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.292,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5c8…5e53backed Estral Esports75c886.65$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.2125074.8%187 W · 63 L+42.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x8f25…51f3backed RED Academy61c695.33$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.1715357.5%88 W · 65 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed RED Academy18c694.44$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12511428.9%33 W · 81 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked RED Academy27c689.85$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.76911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-79.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed RED Academy18c689$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.021926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Estral Esports76c668$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.964546.7%21 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed RED Academy41c648.59$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.8186251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed RED Academy18c626.33$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7435243.2%152 W · 200 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed RED Academy19c612.06$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.8774637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked RED Academy28c571$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.131,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed94…c059backed RED Academy18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016623.5%39 W · 127 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Estral Esports70c554.69$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.961,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x753b…5484backed RED Academy27c536.57$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.274461.4%27 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3868…7ecfbacked RED Academy18c536.33$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.54119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-75.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked RED Academy18c530.91$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5643442.4%184 W · 250 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked RED Academy18c530.91$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5624445.1%110 W · 134 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed RED Academy18c530.91$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5616942%71 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked RED Academy24c522$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9813538.5%52 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40cf…2748backed Estral Esports69c510.47$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9332160.7%195 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked RED Academy25c500.54$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.231,46443.4%636 W · 828 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed RED Academy30c478.16$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.269041.3%285 W · 405 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Estral Esports71c470.39$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.41,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed RED Academy18c456.33$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.141,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed RED Academy44c432.35$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.6816546.1%76 W · 89 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b50…1db2backed RED Academy18c425.34$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.566414.1%9 W · 55 L-16.9wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-69.2%equal weight29-0.19 edge/pick
0x0a4f…e6ffbacked RED Academy18c420$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.615950.9%81 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed RED Academy18c416.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7526042.3%110 W · 150 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed RED Academy30c391.64$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5821134.6%73 W · 138 L-16.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed RED Academy19c382.47$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.621440.2%86 W · 128 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked RED Academy41c364.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed RED Academy19c361.26$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6454529.7%162 W · 383 L-34.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Estral Esports75c350$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.51,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Estral Esports68c321$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.581,63846.7%765 W · 873 L-26.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Estral Esports79c298.07$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8374462.2%463 W · 281 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e60…449abacked RED Academy5c293.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.13129%9 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb83e…0619backed Estral Esports77c275.19$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Estral Esports73c273.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5341945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca3…c679backed Estral Esports75c250.07$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.071361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49a6…a658backed Estral Esports80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5050051.6%258 W · 242 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked RED Academy11c249.75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.991,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked RED Academy25c239.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.233125.7%85 W · 246 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked RED Academy28c238.52$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.032,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Estral Esports79c228.29$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9840145.4%182 W · 219 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed RED Academy17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3421242%89 W · 123 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fe…be09backed RED Academy18c189.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.28132.1%26 W · 55 L-9.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed Estral Esports74c188.23$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9464451.2%330 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Estral Esports77c177$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.341,31847.3%624 W · 694 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed RED Academy28c174.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7475150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed RED Academy27c174.43$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3831244.6%139 W · 173 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed RED Academy18c166$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8854824.3%133 W · 415 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ac…c9f4backed RED Academy29c156.84$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.841469.3%287 W · 127 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+9.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Estral Esports57c155.13$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8275342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa4e…5973backed RED Academy23c154.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7955744%245 W · 312 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed RED Academy15c150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.560738.7%235 W · 372 L+2.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed RED Academy17c150$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.559740.7%243 W · 354 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked RED Academy27c143.3$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6984041%344 W · 496 L-38.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Estral Esports75c142$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.883,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9c5…8588backed Estral Esports65c140.1$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed RED Academy28c139.29$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3922349.3%110 W · 113 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked Estral Esports72c138.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4735159.5%209 W · 142 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…2385backed RED Academy33c137.03$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4516142.9%69 W · 92 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed RED Academy26c123.16$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.351,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed RED Academy26c121.62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.11,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed RED Academy24c120$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.81,21839.9%486 W · 732 L-65.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed RED Academy14c108.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.132,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5124…4500backed RED Academy46c107.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012727.6%35 W · 92 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ffc…cfabbacked RED Academy28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023740.5%96 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked RED Academy20c101.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.982,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Estral Esports79c100.28$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.061,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Estral Esports67c100.03$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.983560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Estral Esports59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4195048.5%461 W · 489 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Estral Esports80c98$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.751,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed RED Academy28c97.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.241,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked RED Academy22c95.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7740231.3%126 W · 276 L-28.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0b5…a0d7backed RED Academy20c95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1917040%68 W · 102 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b54…76eabacked RED Academy24c95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6150%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x55ab…40e8backed RED Academy27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Estral Esports56c83.71$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4322758.1%132 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4ec…1cc8backed RED Academy35c82.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked RED Academy18c79.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.262,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c0…d689backed RED Academy20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153724.3%9 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed RED Academy35c71.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1546153.6%247 W · 214 L-24.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x790c…75e4backed Estral Esports68c59$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.889869.4%68 W · 30 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Estral Esports73c54.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.841,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d32…b538backed RED Academy36c53.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.