TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Estral Esportsof Estral Esports, RED Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,761
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,910

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,761 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1101…dfd5backed RED Academy1c10,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+71.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Estral Esports74c9,734$7,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,576.241,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0111…1071backed RED Academy27c7,995$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,142.291668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.22per pick46cpaid+86%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked RED Academy26c6,918$1,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,768.2875942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed RED Academy30c5,626$1,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,683.8227353.1%145 W · 128 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Estral Esports75c5,526$4,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.982,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Estral Esports75c4,103$3,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.8683560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked RED Academy25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009248.9%45 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed RED Academy24c1,998$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.5936034.4%124 W · 236 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xea4d…c654backed RED Academy3c1,463$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.373154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c8…5e53backed RED Academy3c1,396$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.525074.8%187 W · 63 L+42.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Estral Esports78c1,388$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.71,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked RED Academy23c1,157$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.671,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Estral Esports79c1,137$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.5535054.6%191 W · 159 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Estral Esports75c1,092$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2733,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Estral Esports75c964.7$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.5121754.8%119 W · 98 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Estral Esports73c950$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.784546.7%21 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Estral Esports74c910.28$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.672,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40cf…2748backed Estral Esports74c908$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.7632160.7%195 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed RED Academy18c903.94$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.711,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed RED Academy18c890.2$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.5654529.7%162 W · 383 L-34.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed RED Academy25c787.14$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9916546.1%76 W · 89 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Estral Esports71c710.66$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.721,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Estral Esports74c676.96$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.0137245.2%168 W · 204 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed RED Academy27c672.07$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.231,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed RED Academy22c642.36$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2786943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed RED Academy18c613$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3464443%277 W · 367 L-27.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked RED Academy27c584.19$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.513538.5%52 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed RED Academy17c582.35$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9919232.8%63 W · 129 L-17.2wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed94…c059backed RED Academy18c557.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016623.5%39 W · 127 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Estral Esports75c550$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.51,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked RED Academy16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8024445.1%110 W · 134 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Estral Esports74c499.99$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13057333%189 W · 384 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02f0…c55dbacked RED Academy26c494.11$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4511330.1%34 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked RED Academy36c461.25$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.974551.1%23 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a4f…e6ffbacked RED Academy18c454.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.915950.9%81 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed RED Academy18c420$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.626042.3%110 W · 150 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41bb…6302backed RED Academy18c416.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759244.6%41 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed Estral Esports72c399$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7286251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed RED Academy20c382.5$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.521440.2%86 W · 128 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ac4…7310backed RED Academy12c349.15$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.913854.3%75 W · 63 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x753b…5484backed Estral Esports75c320.33$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.084461.4%27 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed RED Academy18c318$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.891926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked RED Academy26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed RED Academy26c292.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1824835.1%87 W · 161 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Estral Esports69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.861,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3248…aad4backed RED Academy20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012661.9%78 W · 48 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed RED Academy21c243.58$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1575342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0b5…a0d7backed Estral Esports74c240.54$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5417040%68 W · 102 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked RED Academy22c235$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.571,46443.4%636 W · 828 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…4500backed RED Academy26c228.65$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5912727.6%35 W · 92 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked RED Academy23c223$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.771,31847.3%624 W · 694 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Estral Esports79c199.99$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.132,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Estral Esports75c199.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4237548%180 W · 195 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fe…be09backed RED Academy18c189.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.28132.1%26 W · 55 L-9.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked RED Academy28c173.32$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2384041%344 W · 496 L-38.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed RED Academy27c168.69$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4517658%102 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Estral Esports75c166.91$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5238655.2%213 W · 173 L+1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8d0…a510backed RED Academy17c149.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed RED Academy34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040446%186 W · 218 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed RED Academy17c146.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9543539.5%172 W · 263 L-24.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked RED Academy20c140$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2833125.7%85 W · 246 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f9…c50bbacked Estral Esports75c139.91$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.981573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked RED Academy26c138.29$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.381,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed Estral Esports75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2564451.2%330 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed Estral Esports75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257452.7%39 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa4…d343backed RED Academy22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed RED Academy28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2860053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eda…fb8ebacked RED Academy22c99.36$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.881050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed RED Academy28c93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0448747%229 W · 258 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed RED Academy26c90$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.475150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Estral Esports74c81.08$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.083043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed RED Academy19c79.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.051,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xe61a…292dbacked Estral Esports75c79.54$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6346154.9%253 W · 208 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9e7…c067backed Estral Esports79c75.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.953357.6%19 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed RED Academy24c68.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7569041.3%285 W · 405 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…b387backed Estral Esports74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5764749.5%320 W · 327 L+3.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed RED Academy26c64.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8982836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Estral Esports74c64.22$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed RED Academy24c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.574637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Estral Esports76c58.84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9429554.2%160 W · 135 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Estral Esports76c56.97$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6790537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed RED Academy27c54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3531244.6%139 W · 173 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Estral Esports75c53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.251,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked Estral Esports74c45.56$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6336040.6%146 W · 214 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Estral Esports71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2582161%501 W · 320 L+1.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1025…fbfabacked Estral Esports71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2551454.5%280 W · 234 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Estral Esports74c41.89$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8913156.5%74 W · 57 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10d…b67abacked RED Academy25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+65%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Estral Esports73c34.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2523880.3%191 W · 47 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7468…3d24backed Estral Esports78c26.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.757741.6%32 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x048f…cf1abacked Estral Esports75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9343860.5%265 W · 173 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Estral Esports78c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7258155.6%323 W · 258 L+17.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Estral Esports70c15.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6122548%108 W · 117 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.