Lol · resolved market

LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy - Game 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc681276e7974679d36d0231f85dc8fc0b199a1742777be6a0d39f78b4aeb7041

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Estral Esportsof Estral Esports, RED Academy
Resolved: May 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $70,124
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $88,576

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,124 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf201…527ebacked RED Academy	6c	10,109$607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.26	1,295	45.1%584 W · 711 L	+49.7wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x753b…5484backed RED Academy	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	44	61.4%27 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed RED Academy	14c	5,091$691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$691.33	510	44.1%225 W · 285 L	+6.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed RED Academy	18c	2,106$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.45	869	43.2%375 W · 494 L	-5.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed RED Academy	17c	2,064$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.19	1,229	45.1%554 W · 675 L	+48.5wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed RED Academy	19c	1,722$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.27	1,308	38.6%505 W · 803 L	-64.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed RED Academy	18c	1,174$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.09	352	43.2%152 W · 200 L	-8.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked RED Academy	8c	1,040$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.04	759	42%319 W · 440 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed RED Academy	19c	972.67$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.5	746	37.9%283 W · 463 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed RED Academy	13c	943.62$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.21	753	42.5%320 W · 433 L	-14.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Estral Esports	80c	801.13$641 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.46	1,501	54.5%818 W · 683 L	+34.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Estral Esports	69c	727.66$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.76	1,922	42.2%811 W · 1,111 L	-45.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked RED Academy	2c	690$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.3	601	24.1%145 W · 456 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Estral Esports	79c	608$483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.8	1,019	55.8%569 W · 450 L	+22.7wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3868…7ecfbacked RED Academy	18c	562.5$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.25	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	23cpaid	-75.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed RED Academy	18c	536.18$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.32	545	29.7%162 W · 383 L	-34.7wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed94…c059backed RED Academy	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	166	23.5%39 W · 127 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac4…7310backed Estral Esports	76c	500$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	138	54.3%75 W · 63 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed RED Academy	17c	500$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	169	42%71 W · 98 L	-9.0wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed RED Academy	19c	468.42$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89	192	32.8%63 W · 129 L	-17.2wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed RED Academy	16c	454.88$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.09	690	41.3%285 W · 405 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked RED Academy	19c	441.48$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.88	147	35.4%52 W · 95 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a4f…e6ffbacked RED Academy	18c	419.17$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.45	159	50.9%81 W · 78 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked RED Academy	18c	416.67$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	197	35%69 W · 128 L	-12.4wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Estral Esports	77c	389.61$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.61	905	37.5%339 W · 566 L	-18.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed RED Academy	20c	382.5$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.5	214	40.2%86 W · 128 L	-12.0wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed RED Academy	22c	353.61$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.37	375	48%180 W · 195 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Estral Esports	73c	345.53$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.42	1,239	37.3%462 W · 777 L	-39.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-27%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ab7…756bbacked RED Academy	9c	282.74$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed RED Academy	18c	280.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	669	47.8%320 W · 349 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked RED Academy	14c	200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.39	2,938	44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L	-92.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked RED Academy	30c	199$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.06	1,464	43.4%636 W · 828 L	-32.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed RED Academy	30c	196$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.21	487	47%229 W · 258 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84fe…be09backed RED Academy	19c	190$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.1	81	32.1%26 W · 55 L	-9.6wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Estral Esports	73c	186$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.96	139	36%50 W · 89 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked RED Academy	16c	185.52$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	331	25.7%85 W · 246 L	-17.6wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked RED Academy	21c	165.06$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.65	401	45.4%182 W · 219 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed RED Academy	17c	149.22$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.67	797	45.8%365 W · 432 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed RED Academy	31c	139.35$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.33	573	49.4%283 W · 290 L	+8.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed RED Academy	9c	112$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.47	3,131	33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L	-150.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41b3…a28dbacked Estral Esports	77c	103.25$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.83	180	65%117 W · 63 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked RED Academy	16c	83.33$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.33	1,368	37.7%516 W · 852 L	-6.8wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2924…2385backed RED Academy	19c	78.94$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	161	42.9%69 W · 92 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10cf…60cfbacked Estral Esports	75c	68.07$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.07	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed RED Academy	20c	63.47$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.69	1,539	43.7%673 W · 866 L	-28.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed RED Academy	34c	63$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.37	1,638	46.7%765 W · 873 L	-26.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed RED Academy	24c	54.04$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.97	1,372	48.6%667 W · 705 L	+57.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Estral Esports	74c	19.38$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	1,826	39.9%728 W · 1,098 L	-61.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy - Game 1 Winnerthis page
Game Handicap: EST (-2.5) vs RED Academy (+2.5)Estral Esports won
Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante PlayoffsEstral Esports won
LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy - Game 2 WinnerEstral Esports won
LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy - Game 3 WinnerEstral Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy - Game 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event