Lol · resolved market

LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e1573c7aeaa05fad6f28fb7382f7cca1340abb5a95a7e3f5a1f9a3d3ef70d9f

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Estral Esportsof Estral Esports, RED Academy
Resolved: May 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $83,541
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $86,220

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,541 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdee3…6fe5backed RED Academy	9c	8,119$731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$731.28	282	40.8%115 W · 167 L	-16.1wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked RED Academy	12c	4,598$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$538.93	1,158	42.6%493 W · 665 L	-23.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed RED Academy	9c	4,116$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.44	1,308	38.6%505 W · 803 L	-64.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked RED Academy	9c	3,124$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.99	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed RED Academy	9c	2,744$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.44	679	31.8%216 W · 463 L	-31.9wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed RED Academy	10c	2,485$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.02	360	34.4%124 W · 236 L	-21.2wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed RED Academy	9c	2,222$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	192	32.8%63 W · 129 L	-17.2wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked RED Academy	9c	2,045$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.04	244	34.4%84 W · 160 L	-9.1wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed RED Academy	9c	2,040$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.58	251	43.4%109 W · 142 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked RED Academy	10c	1,737$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.4	147	35.4%52 W · 95 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked RED Academy	14c	1,651$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.96	1,063	47.2%502 W · 561 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed RED Academy	9c	1,527$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.65	352	43.2%152 W · 200 L	-8.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaed5…981dbacked RED Academy	9c	1,333$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	442	45.9%203 W · 239 L	-14.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe252…5714backed RED Academy	9c	1,125$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	37	13.5%5 W · 32 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3868…7ecfbacked RED Academy	9c	1,119$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.21	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	23cpaid	-75.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked RED Academy	9c	1,100$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	1,368	37.7%516 W · 852 L	-6.8wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked RED Academy	9c	980$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.2	128	50%64 W · 64 L	-6.6wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed RED Academy	9c	962.44$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.62	545	29.7%162 W · 383 L	-34.7wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed RED Academy	9c	859.46$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.35	313	37.7%118 W · 195 L	-15.1wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x254b…e8abbacked RED Academy	9c	842.99$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.87	42	31%13 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed RED Academy	5c	827.81$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.08	284	48.6%138 W · 146 L	-12.3wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed RED Academy	11c	811.93$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.59	780	43.1%336 W · 444 L	-22.3wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked RED Academy	7c	759.1$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.71	135	38.5%52 W · 83 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed RED Academy	10c	750.04$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.25	1,593	43.8%697 W · 896 L	-74.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed RED Academy	13c	729.87$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.4	165	46.1%76 W · 89 L	-11.6wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed RED Academy	14c	661.37$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.77	1,310	37.3%489 W · 821 L	-86.3wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21de…506ebacked RED Academy	16c	636.63$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-2.5wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed RED Academy	13c	601$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.2	438	37.9%166 W · 272 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa113…93f4backed RED Academy	4c	600$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.6	115	32.2%37 W · 78 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9535…ccdcbacked RED Academy	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed RED Academy	9c	555.43$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.68	1,079	26%281 W · 798 L	-99.0wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked RED Academy	12c	539.38$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.53	498	41.6%207 W · 291 L	-15.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed RED Academy	15c	536.47$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.74	141	48.2%68 W · 73 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb70…d145backed RED Academy	3c	500.11$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked RED Academy	9c	497.78$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.8	905	37.5%339 W · 566 L	-18.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked RED Academy	4c	413.7$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.19	840	41%344 W · 496 L	-38.1wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80bd…7acdbacked RED Academy	6c	339.95$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed RED Academy	15c	331.37$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.07	312	44.6%139 W · 173 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4105…9f14backed RED Academy	11c	321.32$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.79	54	27.8%15 W · 39 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+62.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed RED Academy	9c	294.93$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.53	1,826	39.9%728 W · 1,098 L	-61.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed RED Academy	8c	268.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.33	306	43.1%132 W · 174 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked RED Academy	10c	266.55$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.82	1,357	31.2%423 W · 934 L	-129.6wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked RED Academy	9c	261$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.22	1,464	43.4%636 W · 828 L	-32.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed RED Academy	8c	252$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	1,924	35.9%691 W · 1,233 L	-97.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed RED Academy	15c	234.74$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.38	487	47%229 W · 258 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked RED Academy	17c	230$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.47	1,318	47.3%624 W · 694 L	-31.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked RED Academy	15c	220$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.23	668	45.5%304 W · 364 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed RED Academy	15c	216.21$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	326	50%163 W · 163 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed RED Academy	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	746	37.9%283 W · 463 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa485…a7d5backed RED Academy	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	253	45.8%116 W · 137 L	+9.0wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92ad…0214backed RED Academy	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x482b…3266backed RED Academy	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	91	49.5%45 W · 46 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5ffc…cfabbacked RED Academy	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	237	40.5%96 W · 141 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53fd…8d41backed RED Academy	9c	188.44$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.96	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	-7.5wins	-0.22per pick	40cpaid	-61.3%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8238…fcb9backed RED Academy	6c	187.93$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	94	36.2%34 W · 60 L	-8.0wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b8a…76a2backed RED Academy	9c	177.78$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed RED Academy	9c	160$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	260	42.3%110 W · 150 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked RED Academy	9c	153.33$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	89	49.4%44 W · 45 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa4e…5973backed RED Academy	11c	133.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	557	44%245 W · 312 L	-17.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ab7…756bbacked RED Academy	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd424…bf7bbacked RED Academy	14c	107.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed RED Academy	11c	101.78$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.19	1,606	17.5%281 W · 1,325 L	-245.0wins	-0.15per pick	33cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked RED Academy	11c	97.04$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.42	2,679	35.7%957 W · 1,722 L	-153.5wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed RED Academy	14c	89.33$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.51	206	31.6%65 W · 141 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed RED Academy	16c	85$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.54	1,638	46.7%765 W · 873 L	-26.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed RED Academy	15c	69$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.53	3,131	33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L	-150.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Estral Esports	80c	63.96$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.79	759	42%319 W · 440 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsthis page
Game Handicap: EST (-2.5) vs RED Academy (+2.5)Estral Esports won
Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy - Game 1 WinnerEstral Esports won
LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy - Game 2 WinnerEstral Esports won
LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy - Game 3 WinnerEstral Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event