Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa637b3e12e0b2a3f696b30ed69bf8747a81fcecbe7775b7fff19484f4c3a4f26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Over | 49c | 1,899$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.41 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 51c | 1,520$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.98 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 41c | 591.55$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.53 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…dc9ebacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Under | 58c | 487.87$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.41 | 115 | 67.8%78 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Over | 47c | 404$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.88 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48d1…8fe6backed Under | 59c | 340$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.4 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Under | 50c | 283.1$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.18 | 160 | 35%56 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 42c | 196.37$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.47 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd89c…2d1fbacked Under | 59c | 169.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Under | 55c | 129.71$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 59c | 118.04$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 41c | 98.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 43c | 90.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 45c | 87.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…f9b9backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Under | 55c | 76.51$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 53c | 74.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 53c | 72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 50c | 47.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 42c | 46.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 59c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebcc…3386backed Over | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 56c | 27.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 55c | 22.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: EST (-2.5) vs RED Academy (+2.5)Estral Esports won
- LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante PlayoffsEstral Esports won
- LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy - Game 1 WinnerEstral Esports won
- LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy - Game 2 WinnerEstral Esports won
- LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy - Game 3 WinnerEstral Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.