Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: EST (-2.5) vs RED Academy (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dc1335a0d3bc4288b4fcbcfadf431baff8d33aa3765879a49f88fa32d470238
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Estral Esportsof Estral Esports, RED Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1464…5e75backed RED Academy | 44c | 4,287$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.96 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Estral Esports | 50c | 2,005$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.45 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked RED Academy | 50c | 1,782$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.01 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Estral Esports | 54c | 1,746$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.46 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed RED Academy | 9c | 1,151$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.11 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Estral Esports | 57c | 1,103$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.46 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed Estral Esports | 56c | 1,084$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.35 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Estral Esports | 59c | 916.78$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.88 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -9.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed RED Academy | 46c | 767.99$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.28 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked RED Academy | 50c | 737$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Estral Esports | 54c | 622.88$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.58 | 115 | 67.8%78 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Estral Esports | 51c | 544.27$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.06 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed RED Academy | 43c | 472.75$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.77 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked RED Academy | 43c | 469.97$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.09 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Estral Esports | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked RED Academy | 48c | 372.8$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed RED Academy | 39c | 303.29$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.28 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Estral Esports | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.12 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed RED Academy | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Estral Esports | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Estral Esports | 56c | 252.74$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.21 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x109b…935fbacked Estral Esports | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 282 | 61%172 W · 110 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked RED Academy | 50c | 204$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 123 | 52%64 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked RED Academy | 40c | 194.07$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.69 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed RED Academy | 49c | 185.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.19 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ce…cc35backed Estral Esports | 60c | 167.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115a…98e1backed Estral Esports | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 167 | 62.3%104 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked RED Academy | 43c | 105$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Estral Esports | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Estral Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Estral Esports | 58c | 99.79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed RED Academy | 50c | 94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 268 | 56.7%152 W · 116 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed RED Academy | 44c | 87.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa03c…f557backed Estral Esports | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Estral Esports | 50c | 83.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Estral Esports | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Estral Esports | 57c | 76.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Estral Esports | 52c | 70.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed RED Academy | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 347 | 43.5%151 W · 196 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed Estral Esports | 61c | 65.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked RED Academy | 51c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Estral Esports | 51c | 60.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Estral Esports | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Estral Esports | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked RED Academy | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b3…a28dbacked Estral Esports | 59c | 59.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 180 | 65%117 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked RED Academy | 48c | 57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed RED Academy | 48c | 57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 183 | 59.6%109 W · 74 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Estral Esports | 53c | 50.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed RED Academy | 40c | 50.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed RED Academy | 44c | 47.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b06…ade2backed Estral Esports | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Estral Esports | 54c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 458 | 41.5%190 W · 268 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed RED Academy | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed RED Academy | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 382 | 57.9%221 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed RED Academy | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked Estral Esports | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…b747backed Estral Esports | 59c | 27.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d1…8fe6backed Estral Esports | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…e653backed RED Academy | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed RED Academy | 44c | 22.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 210 | 54.8%115 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Estral Esports | 58c | 22.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Estral Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: EST (-2.5) vs RED Academy (+2.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante PlayoffsEstral Esports won
- LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy - Game 1 WinnerEstral Esports won
- LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy - Game 2 WinnerEstral Esports won
- LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy - Game 3 WinnerEstral Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.