Lol · resolved market
LoL: The Bandits vs Senshi Esports Club - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9560d9a193e457863f6e4143eac462244395cc89278d7b344a0e7c3a339a210
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The Banditsof The Bandits, Senshi Esports Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed The Bandits | 60c | 1,426$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.83 | 829 | 54.5%452 W · 377 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Senshi Esports Club | 40c | 966.86$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.96 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Senshi Esports Club | 40c | 856.77$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.71 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked The Bandits | 67c | 601.21$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.28 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Senshi Esports Club | 39c | 399.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked The Bandits | 60c | 257.39$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed The Bandits | 59c | 257.39$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.53 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked The Bandits | 60c | 257.39$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 244 | 45.1%110 W · 134 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed Senshi Esports Club | 43c | 216.22$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 707 | 57%403 W · 304 L | +35.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Senshi Esports Club | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 379 | 33.5%127 W · 252 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Senshi Esports Club | 35c | 173.88$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked The Bandits | 57c | 168.72$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b3…a28dbacked The Bandits | 61c | 164.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 180 | 65%117 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x790c…75e4backed The Bandits | 63c | 112.5$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Senshi Esports Club | 22c | 77.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 334 | 53.9%180 W · 154 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Senshi Esports Club | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 629 | 49.9%314 W · 315 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…f3cebacked Senshi Esports Club | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked Senshi Esports Club | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…b74abacked The Bandits | 57c | 22.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed The Bandits | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 2,910 | 38.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L | -120.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: The Bandits vs Senshi Esports Club - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: The Bandits vs Senshi Esports Club (BO3) - Road Of Legends PlayoffsThe Bandits won
- LoL: The Bandits vs Senshi Esports Club - Game 1 WinnerThe Bandits won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.