Lol · resolved market
LoL: The Bandits vs Senshi Esports Club - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dfe010299104d6f11d415d7e90669e5565d09489748c99dd6d940c303fd0898
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The Banditsof The Bandits, Senshi Esports Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Senshi Esports Club | 40c | 871.56$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.62 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed The Bandits | 60c | 863.36$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.34 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Senshi Esports Club | 40c | 474.47$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.79 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked The Bandits | 60c | 257.39$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed The Bandits | 59c | 257.39$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.53 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked The Bandits | 60c | 257.39$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 244 | 45.1%110 W · 134 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Senshi Esports Club | 43c | 198.83$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Senshi Esports Club | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Senshi Esports Club | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae8…e1b3backed The Bandits | 70c | 70.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked The Bandits | 52c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed The Bandits | 73c | 51.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Senshi Esports Club | 53c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x790c…75e4backed The Bandits | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked The Bandits | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f77…39f8backed The Bandits | 73c | 30.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed The Bandits | 55c | 24.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed The Bandits | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…b74abacked The Bandits | 56c | 22.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed The Bandits | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: The Bandits vs Senshi Esports Club - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: The Bandits vs Senshi Esports Club (BO3) - Road Of Legends PlayoffsThe Bandits won
- LoL: The Bandits vs Senshi Esports Club - Game 2 WinnerThe Bandits won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.