CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x914bc1dd742a791c4c0a8d46a964f893457fb682e9ca1cfe1482fed84cffb997
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Eternal Fire, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Rune Eaters | 24c | 1,542$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.95 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Eternal Fire | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Eternal Fire | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Eternal Fire | 76c | 800.42$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.29 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 563.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.25 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Eternal Fire | 78c | 500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 403.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.5 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Eternal Fire | 76c | 250$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.06 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Eternal Fire | 76c | 250$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Rune Eaters | 27c | 241.58$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.91 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Eternal Fire | 73c | 207.28$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.28 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Eternal Fire | 76c | 189.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.34 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Eternal Fire | 67c | 158.27$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.37 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Eternal Fire | 42c | 148.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.63 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters | 34c | 144.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.89 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Eternal Fire | 33c | 132.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Eternal Fire | 20c | 81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Eternal Fire | 52c | 76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Eternal Fire | 73c | 64.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 167 | 54.5%91 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…60f7backed Rune Eaters | 31c | 61.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 83 | 22.9%19 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Eternal Fire | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Eternal Fire | 48c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Eternal Fire | 73c | 50.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…789abacked Eternal Fire | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Eternal Fire | 71c | 48.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…c50bbacked Eternal Fire | 68c | 43.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Eternal Fire | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Eternal Fire | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rune Eaters | 35c | 29.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Eternal Fire | 73c | 21.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 217 | 52.5%114 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f6…cd51backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Eternal Fire | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Eternal Fire | 71c | 14.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 157 | 65%102 W · 55 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group StageEternal Fire won
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)Rune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.