Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Queens (NC) Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78f48e2d8c6f334c2fb60e819e24b2daf2717b49732b5b7a7ec88a464eb08f77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Queens (NC) Royalsof Jacksonville Dolphins, Queens (NC) Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 25c | 433.62$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 18c | 305.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Queens (NC) Royals | 75c | 266.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.77 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 24c | 185.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Queens (NC) Royals | 79c | 151.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Queens (NC) Royals | 78c | 71.91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Queens (NC) Royals | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 22c | 61.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…18f0backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 26c | 43.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb88…b1d7backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Queens (NC) Royals | 72c | 26.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Queens (NC) Royals | 78c | 16.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Queens (NC) Royals | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.