Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Lindenwood Lions vs. Little Rock Trojans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8eeb31409c707e8c5c57621c19947400737155e58e39dc78c1d23692549ddf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lindenwood Lionsof Lindenwood Lions, Little Rock Trojans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lindenwood Lions | 49c | 8,167$4,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160.45 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Little Rock Trojans | 51c | 4,382$2,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Little Rock Trojans | 51c | 3,586$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.79 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lindenwood Lions | 51c | 3,257$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.47 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Little Rock Trojans | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Little Rock Trojans | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 188 | 46.8%88 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Little Rock Trojans | 52c | 1,515$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.98 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Little Rock Trojans | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Little Rock Trojans | 48c | 1,484$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.86 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Lindenwood Lions | 48c | 1,436$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.78 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lindenwood Lions | 58c | 1,287$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.68 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Little Rock Trojans | 42c | 855.7$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.61 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lindenwood Lions | 44c | 850$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.28 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Lindenwood Lions | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lindenwood Lions | 50c | 719.86$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.23 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lindenwood Lions | 50c | 699.74$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.57 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Little Rock Trojans | 26c | 622.31$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.3 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Lindenwood Lions | 49c | 619$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.69 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Lindenwood Lions | 50c | 594$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Lindenwood Lions | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Lindenwood Lions | 58c | 524.9$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.76 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b07…934abacked Lindenwood Lions | 76c | 457.09$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Lindenwood Lions | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Little Rock Trojans | 43c | 299.46$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.55 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lindenwood Lions | 56c | 250.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.78 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Little Rock Trojans | 40c | 241.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.14 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lindenwood Lions | 54c | 210.07$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.43 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Lindenwood Lions | 63c | 203.33$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Lindenwood Lions | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Lindenwood Lions | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Little Rock Trojans | 47c | 171.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Lindenwood Lions | 55c | 171.07$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.27 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Lindenwood Lions | 60c | 167.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.58 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Lindenwood Lions | 51c | 160.67$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Lindenwood Lions | 52c | 160.05$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.78 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dec…53b0backed Lindenwood Lions | 64c | 130.22$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lindenwood Lions | 49c | 127$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Lindenwood Lions | 49c | 122.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Little Rock Trojans | 35c | 114.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Little Rock Trojans | 45c | 113.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Little Rock Trojans | 48c | 106.74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Lindenwood Lions | 52c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Little Rock Trojans | 49c | 103$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Lindenwood Lions | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Little Rock Trojans | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Lindenwood Lions | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Lindenwood Lions | 57c | 87.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Lindenwood Lions | 67c | 84.71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Lindenwood Lions | 49c | 77.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Lindenwood Lions | 52c | 76.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Little Rock Trojans | 29c | 67.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Little Rock Trojans | 47c | 67.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Little Rock Trojans | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Lindenwood Lions | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lindenwood Lions | 52c | 49.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…f4f3backed Little Rock Trojans | 35c | 40.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Lindenwood Lions | 52c | 39.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Lindenwood Lions | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Lindenwood Lions | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Lindenwood Lions | 44c | 33.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Lindenwood Lions | 50c | 32.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Little Rock Trojans | 52c | 31.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fc…a83bbacked Lindenwood Lions | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Little Rock Trojans | 51c | 30.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Lindenwood Lions | 48c | 30.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Little Rock Trojans | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Little Rock Trojans | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Lindenwood Lions | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Lindenwood Lions | 52c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed Lindenwood Lions | 52c | 28.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed Little Rock Trojans | 54c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 125 | 37.6%47 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x804c…79c6backed Lindenwood Lions | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Lindenwood Lions | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…18f0backed Lindenwood Lions | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lindenwood Lions vs. Little Rock Trojansthis page
- Lindenwood Lions vs. Little Rock Trojans: O/U 151.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.