Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Portland Pilots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1d972e0754cc828834c235298a56a00ef45df989c735f363b98fdc39625c8aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portland Pilotsof Gonzaga Bulldogs, Portland Pilots
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Portland Pilots | 3c | 21,243$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,606.02 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0a…24a9backed Portland Pilots | 7c | 19,322$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,903.97 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 5c | 5,536$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.09 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 79c | 5,007$3,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,958.47 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 50c | 4,344$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162.39 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 1c | 4,005$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Portland Pilots | 80c | 3,926$3,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.28 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 22c | 2,194$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.54 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 17c | 1,400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Portland Pilots | 29c | 1,368$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.66 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Portland Pilots | 2c | 1,237$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.56 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Portland Pilots | 49c | 1,060$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.42 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 45c | 896.83$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.53 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Portland Pilots | 9c | 846.73$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.03 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Portland Pilots | 4c | 800$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.07 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Portland Pilots | 43c | 588.38$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.75 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 74c | 476.85$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.7 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Portland Pilots | 14c | 423$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.01 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Portland Pilots | 3c | 406.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.21 | 123 | 8.1%10 W · 113 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0110…af5dbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 62c | 307.16$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Portland Pilots | 29c | 303.23$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.23 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Portland Pilots | 46c | 297.05$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.85 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…b6ecbacked Portland Pilots | 21c | 289.58$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.58 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 42c | 237.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 7c | 230.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 6c | 218$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 16c | 204.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…2b01backed Portland Pilots | 12c | 186.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +157.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 75c | 180.76$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.08 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Portland Pilots | 39c | 176.34$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.13 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Portland Pilots | 16c | 150.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.75 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Portland Pilots | 73c | 135.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 69c | 127.1$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.91 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 23c | 124$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Portland Pilots | 17c | 116.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 37c | 80.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…18f0backed Portland Pilots | 31c | 62.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 30c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…0519backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 54c | 45.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035f…b2ccbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 50c | 39.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 59c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Portland Pilots | 32c | 34.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fc…a83bbacked Portland Pilots | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.