Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20122f474b3c854daa25abfb56e9b04d8bc1a555539121d5cd41eff3e0190500
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 40c | 499.48$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.42 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 73c | 356.29$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.31 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 33c | 335.59$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.49 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 65c | 316.84$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.58 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 17c | 234.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.08 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 35c | 231.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.51 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 20c | 222.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.59 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 53c | 218$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.24 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 25c | 201.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.56 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…f552backed Yes | 18c | 200.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.66 | 354 | 41%145 W · 209 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 55c | 146.82$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 16c | 138.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.23 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 17c | 135.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.92 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed Yes | 41c | 127.9$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.29 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 28c | 116.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.85 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 36c | 105$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…7fe2backed No | 51c | 97.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…7320backed Yes | 54c | 95.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 56c | 93.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 41c | 91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…66ecbacked No | 79c | 88.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 57c | 88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 58c | 86.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 39c | 78.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 20c | 77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 22c | 76.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.14 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 38c | 76.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 77c | 75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.56 | 399 | 68.9%275 W · 124 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 59c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 63c | 74.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 29c | 69.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 55c | 68.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 19c | 66.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 48c | 65.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…14ccbacked Yes | 25c | 62.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 24c | 61.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 39c | 61.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 57c | 60.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 28c | 60.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x002a…61b7backed No | 76c | 50.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10c…fc7cbacked Yes | 28c | 48.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +146.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…2caabacked Yes | 30c | 44.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 445 | 67%298 W · 147 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3887…9496backed No | 78c | 44.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 243 | 70%170 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 24c | 44.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 50c | 37.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed No | 68c | 31.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 38c | 30.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e7…8b59backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 434 | 41.5%180 W · 254 L | +29.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 62c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…868cbacked Yes | 41c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Yes | 38c | 26.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 75c | 26.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 57c | 26.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…2639backed Yes | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 438 | 42%184 W · 254 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked No | 78c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 92 | 72.8%67 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…1e02backed No | 78c | 25.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 222 | 65.8%146 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccbc…f417backed Yes | 44c | 24.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 61c | 24.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 55c | 23.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 44c | 23.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4701…ca83backed No | 61c | 23.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…4cdebacked No | 60c | 21.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…940ebacked No | 69c | 21.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 170 | 71.2%121 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 59c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 435 | 63.9%278 W · 157 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 80c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0752…7ac0backed No | 61c | 17.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…2ce9backed Yes | 79c | 14.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 86°F or higher on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.