Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6087bf6cd30ad4255bfcbab0b947815e5e0600479fed769e98944a3ccd5e5bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 54c | 740.33$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.09 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 70c | 441.2$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.03 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 37c | 414.26$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.32 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 66c | 406.27$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.57 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 5c | 353.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 62c | 340.13$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.6 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 31c | 294.35$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.17 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 35c | 240$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.14 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f79…af92backed No | 46c | 230.47$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.45 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes | 58c | 220$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -19.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 41c | 162.52$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.21 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 42c | 128$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.06 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 12c | 126$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 30c | 120.05$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.44 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 51c | 100.91$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9898…0a7dbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 44c | 95.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked No | 43c | 93.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 45c | 75.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 48c | 69.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 69c | 69.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff1…e002backed No | 44c | 61.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 63c | 59.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 43c | 56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…6c9abacked Yes | 58c | 54.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 56c | 53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f12…9424backed Yes | 69c | 50.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 41c | 50.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 40c | 49.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 56c | 48.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 38c | 47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 40c | 46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc27e…d4fbbacked Yes | 44c | 45.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 64c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 44c | 44.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 39c | 42.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 40c | 41.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…edf3backed No | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 51c | 37.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xec0a…71dabacked No | 43c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed No | 44c | 35.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff3e…953fbacked Yes | 80c | 35.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…8652backed No | 44c | 35.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 39c | 34.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 40c | 33.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…5c4fbacked Yes | 60c | 24.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…840cbacked Yes | 64c | 21.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 151 | 52.3%79 W · 72 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 63c | 20.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 58c | 20.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 50c | 20.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 57c | 19.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…2b25backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 329 | 58.7%193 W · 136 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 11?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 11?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on June 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.