Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62b20155a051319aa10d0417e587f769389b292b05323cd3d76c493728131ec8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 55c | 776.61$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.76 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1d…c41dbacked No | 37c | 273.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 38c | 199.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 53c | 143.36$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 34c | 137.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 79c | 117$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…c51dbacked No | 32c | 109.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…2013backed No | 31c | 104.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 314 | 54.1%170 W · 144 L | +31.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Yes | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 39c | 98.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 63c | 94.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 54c | 86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked No | 28c | 85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 44c | 85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 28c | 81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bb…1b2fbacked No | 46c | 76.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 27c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x903b…fdf1backed Yes | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 43c | 69.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 47c | 66.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 41c | 63.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 70c | 63.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 60c | 60.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 46c | 58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 37c | 52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 46c | 51.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7510…6cb0backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 50c | 49.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 33c | 46.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa88f…1096backed Yes | 62c | 44.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc27e…d4fbbacked Yes | 46c | 43.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafc2…13ffbacked No | 44c | 43.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 43c | 41.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked No | 30c | 41.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec0a…71dabacked Yes | 72c | 40.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 56c | 34.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 59c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 74c | 31.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 53c | 31.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f4…89d3backed Yes | 70c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…f434backed No | 60c | 30.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 475 | 69.5%330 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 57c | 30.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f99…fbf9backed No | 35c | 28.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 59c | 28.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 46c | 27.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 44c | 23.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf745…bf49backed Yes | 49c | 23.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…118ebacked Yes | 70c | 23.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 208 | 42.8%89 W · 119 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 52c | 22.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 384 | 54.9%211 W · 173 L | +26.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15da…4e2abacked No | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…b3ecbacked Yes | 69c | 18.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb53b…168dbacked Yes | 74c | 18.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed Yes | 68c | 16.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 65c | 15.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 407 | 39.3%160 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on June 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.