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Macro Indicators · resolved market

Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,619
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,819

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,619 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Macro Indicators
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb1ca…1705backed Yes39c905.14$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.784100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+70.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e88…301cbacked Yes48c714.63$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f9e…4f1abacked No22c655.12$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.882045%9 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-34.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4060…c1c4backed No35c617.62$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.437733.8%26 W · 51 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+64.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes66c599.7$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.99129.7%27 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43f7…35e5backed No34c480.17$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.281127.3%3 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes30c358.43$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.4611935.3%42 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6406…bc04backed Yes67c319.89$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Yes67c277.76$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.661369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+47.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes65c266.16$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2415747.8%75 W · 82 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No51c232.32$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6411334.5%39 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No45c215$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.653265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No43c210.17$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.034759.6%28 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fa8…e1f5backed Yes62c206.13$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes66c199.92$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9720332%65 W · 138 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes75c187.86$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.621957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No47c173.22$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.73447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes66c159.9$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.371485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+31.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No60c159$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7321041.9%88 W · 122 L-13.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x097b…19c1backed No33c157.09$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No61c145$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.752360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…6807backed Yes61c142$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes63c128.2$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.251136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa055…12b7backed Yes32c106$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+138.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No50c104$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.262369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca75…0a64backed No67c95$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.882040%8 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e55…9a76backed Yes56c84.16$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.633100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d0f…30e3backed Yes62c80.51$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes78c74.3$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.353542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No40c74.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.592263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1840…6798backed Yes68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No44c72.84$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.823161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No38c71.74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4431418.5%58 W · 256 L-30.3wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-44.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes59c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.71844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes67c65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.451850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed Yes77c62$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.261050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7df9…3a49backed Yes65c61.36$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c37…a324backed Yes67c60.76$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67a8…7493backed Yes60c60.36$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7afb…61eabacked No33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.81747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No45c59$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.552867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c54…84afbacked No34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe40a…e4a2backed No56c55.87$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.21944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8b…0c74backed No58c51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed Yes53c48.17$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.642055%11 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e64…c43ebacked Yes51c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.52785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.46per pick40cpaid+149.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc85f…0fe1backed Yes52c47.8$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.94875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+47.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed Yes21c47.7$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.682751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No32c45.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.491315.4%2 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-56.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes61c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.553036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7943…29b4backed Yes67c40.25$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.28520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-70.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29ed…a8dabacked No55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c62…ca89backed Yes66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+104%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc09b…38e2backed Yes60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43eb…3d85backed No62c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked No61c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.21968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03bc…530cbacked No32c39.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa44a…cd7dbacked Yes67c39.26$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe2d…da35backed No38c37.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd322…8503backed No49c34.2$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.92728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-60.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x270b…e632backed Yes62c34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Yes66c33.97$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.551030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-51.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked Yes65c33.3$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.52666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4708…9580backed No36c32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.52633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-54.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5651…83e1backed No41c32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.33467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed Yes77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.91872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.54153.7%22 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4629…f3b1backed No70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd2c…0c32backed Yes68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ff…0d37backed Yes69c27.68$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…d8e3backed Yes67c26.03$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a82…abeabacked No71c21.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes61c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.191457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeed8…35f0backed Yes78c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.62837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-48.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67be…d937backed Yes58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaaa…6783backed No51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3901…9761backed No53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.61060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…6f6ebacked No58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f7d…2388backed Yes65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c18…32c3backed No53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.61668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2f2…d1f0backed Yes78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb5b…f580backed Yes54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb884…19c1backed No53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0aa…3259backed Yes60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No63c19.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122250%11 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.