Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x052af451dd38b43143cf58f4f966e6a898c0b995a94de3cfad26a9f957669dad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b18…a1debacked Yes | 12c | 748.09$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…c1c4backed Yes | 21c | 657.15$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 57c | 647.2$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.97 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…35e5backed Yes | 17c | 330.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e55…9a76backed No | 76c | 297.39$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…2ad3backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 79c | 180.15$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 77c | 135$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 77c | 135$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 77c | 115$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 16c | 108.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 20c | 93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…29b4backed Yes | 21c | 91.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 44c | 88.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4834…5f7abacked Yes | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…fe0bbacked Yes | 21c | 71.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 78c | 65.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed Yes | 31c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9295…b91cbacked Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 80c | 59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdd…dd27backed Yes | 20c | 54.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 21c | 53.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…8c02backed Yes | 26c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 30c | 50.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…7493backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 303 | 13.9%42 W · 261 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 80c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 77c | 39.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 77c | 37.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?this page
- Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be at least 0.8%?No won
- Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Yes won
- Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?No won
- Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?No won
- Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be less than 0.0%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.