La Liga · resolved market
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-10-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa01f7f605924e4d28e911f9bd4699a1bfe7e64681234aa6766e6d3393dadf9f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 32c | 25,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,000 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 68c | 24,850$16,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,898 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 10c | 4,521$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.02 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 6c | 2,062$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.62 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 2c | 1,255$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.9 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 30c | 1,184$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.96 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 52c | 921.25$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.75 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 26c | 816.12$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.14 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 673$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.47 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed Yes | 28c | 554.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.49 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 11c | 491.16$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.17 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed No | 71c | 422.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 20c | 309.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.69 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 68c | 299.38$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.58 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 10c | 247.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.02 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed No | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 29c | 153.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.69 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…9ce9backed Yes | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8b…903bbacked Yes | 78c | 108.68$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf316…b391backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +141.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 15c | 90.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.15 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbebb…1465backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 31c | 80$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed No | 68c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…6240backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89de…9bc9backed Yes | 19c | 73.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…aa7bbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…b7bebacked Yes | 53c | 47.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdc…649abacked Yes | 32c | 43.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 75c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8460…af5dbacked Yes | 30c | 34.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +78%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…5d20backed No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed Yes | 53c | 29.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed No | 68c | 14.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-10-26?this page
- Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw?No won
- Will Osasuna win on 2025-10-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.