TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Osasuna win on 2025-10-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,246
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,246 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No63c10,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,699.9717248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes42c5,481$2,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,291.84,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No59c4,519$2,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,852.895253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x286c…caffbacked Yes41c3,820$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.04450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Yes37c2,887$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.062250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes38c2,091$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.855841.4%24 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No44c2,073$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.1930743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No48c2,019$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.497445.9%34 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x457c…fa41backed No63c1,823$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec4f…a9babacked Yes37c1,821$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No40c1,369$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.083,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No68c1,337$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.3427453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e7…f80fbacked Yes76c1,315$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes72c1,225$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.53455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No61c975.85$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.7127854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ddc…f21cbacked Yes44c941.44$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.95742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No51c888.24$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.6826930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b53…1fa3backed Yes76c827.07$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes53c778.81$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.4660147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed Yes79c679.04$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.04366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes38c593.51$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.3815750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes34c500.34$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1703847.4%18 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7860…4694backed Yes42c471.26$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.93425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No20c338$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.43633.3%12 W · 24 L+5.7wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+76.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Yes18c332.4$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No34c327.74$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.255941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Yes38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142544%11 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf707…e8cebacked Yes23c285.49$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.74728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-55.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004850%24 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes36c249.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9048934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x694e…8d20backed Yes28c244.15$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24b8…6a66backed Yes38c239.06$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908261%50 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No44c225$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3537039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No62c216.88$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.419154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No61c216.33$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.96535.4%23 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd5d…fbb3backed No64c204.69$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.694562.2%28 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95a5…4f7cbacked Yes27c179.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504465.9%29 W · 15 L+6.8wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+41.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No61c172.85$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8512757.5%73 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No60c171.68$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.678961.8%55 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No64c159.84$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.543636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.58143.2%35 W · 46 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x89de…9bc9backed Yes28c138.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.15955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3adf…d8b0backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd31c…dac9backed No23c129.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.092055%11 W · 9 L+4.5wins+0.22per pick33cpaid+59.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf9ab…23cbbacked Yes78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No59c121.95$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5029545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07b2…ea62backed Yes21c121.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No43c120.83$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3417155%94 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Yes43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.61947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbb…d067backed Yes75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7523762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9a50…ff53backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x63aa…c5c8backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes37c99.97$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.992133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes27c99.74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.934330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes28c90$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.213626.5%36 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes41c85.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354961.2%30 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325825.9%15 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes40c71.81$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7242458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4919461.9%120 W · 74 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No38c55$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0540033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7bf7…9e9abacked Yes43c54.37$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.381428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-45.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No60c53.32$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3374457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92a5…eb80backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206852.9%36 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3225872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2942…5c1bbacked Yes36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec9…bfcdbacked Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2e0…4983backed Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No63c44.1$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4529038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefe1…84b0backed Yes38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x633b…7e70backed Yes41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f6b…341cbacked Yes41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-36.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fdc…649abacked Yes39c35.59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x270c…f377backed Yes75c33.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.011070%7 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2485…1d6fbacked Yes49c31.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd02d…b9f4backed Yes38c30.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.917744.1%78 W · 99 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x61f9…b021backed Yes41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b47…5286backed No63c29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.73966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02ac…33b2backed No64c25.03$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.01425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Yes43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.753050%15 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ec…eeb0backed Yes80c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2968…e0c4backed No64c22.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.