Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump create 'gold card' citizenship before April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x874c85079a0d8aa6bae24fd29337f09f1c7178396f82b73c56a4240e8c199b30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $978,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $984,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $978,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb53f…8707backed Yes | 52c | 125,655$65,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,340.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7571…1e8ebacked No | 48c | 125,632$60,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,328.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc191…ba36backed Yes | 57c | 125,247$71,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,390.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…4badbacked No | 43c | 125,247$53,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,390.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…9772backed Yes | 68c | 100,125$68,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,085 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa5…16e3backed No | 32c | 100,125$32,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,085 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +192.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ab…e269backed Yes | 0c | 41,920$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 46c | 9,083$4,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,912.4 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 41c | 8,934$3,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,273.12 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 0c | 8,205$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38cd…a557backed Yes | 56c | 5,047$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,801.53 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de9…ca15backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee3d…501bbacked Yes | 15c | 3,508$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1292…e678backed Yes | 67c | 3,123$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 59c | 2,715$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.38 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6448…cab3backed Yes | 15c | 2,683$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 35c | 2,660$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.61 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed No | 57c | 2,653$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.03 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes | 63c | 2,626$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.73 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e88…0670backed Yes | 80c | 2,507$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 43c | 2,285$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.11 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36b5…590cbacked No | 34c | 2,224$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 25cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed Yes | 62c | 2,155$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.29 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Yes | 52c | 2,118$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.84 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 49c | 2,015$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.1 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…7f75backed Yes | 73c | 1,932$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Yes | 12c | 1,830$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.61 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked No | 30c | 1,754$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.21 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…89cfbacked Yes | 66c | 1,591$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.76 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed Yes | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…709cbacked No | 30c | 1,411$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.37 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…621abacked No | 79c | 1,318$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.41 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3000…0d25backed No | 54c | 1,290$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 38c | 1,245$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.3 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…1fbfbacked No | 75c | 1,158$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 26c | 1,145$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.3 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 44c | 1,100$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.99 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec58…8ad9backed Yes | 19c | 1,075$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ef1backed Yes | 57c | 1,065$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1639…b984backed No | 28c | 1,051$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.13 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe3…043bbacked Yes | 69c | 1,001$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed Yes | 12c | 964.86$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.48 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked No | 39c | 922.97$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…e61bbacked Yes | 51c | 919.96$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.08 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…a9aebacked No | 31c | 889.95$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked No | 29c | 874.04$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed No | 80c | 804.85$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.89 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…5f67backed Yes | 72c | 779.9$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.53 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…69debacked Yes | 76c | 745$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 54c | 716.62$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.36 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 69c | 711.74$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.44 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…9750backed No | 63c | 704.99$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed No | 18c | 700$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.2 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed No | 39c | 676.97$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.95 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd69…a2e1backed No | 44c | 634.76$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.46 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 69c | 600$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d2f2backed No | 33c | 597.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa586…9a83backed Yes | 47c | 558.95$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 20c | 529.87$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.97 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0992…2a08backed Yes | 69c | 486.83$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…33c1backed Yes | 71c | 484.72$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0a3fbacked Yes | 21c | 466.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed No | 60c | 455.73$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.23 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…c9dabacked Yes | 17c | 455.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.63 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 67c | 449.99$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb19…21e4backed No | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed Yes | 6c | 443$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c30…af8dbacked No | 44c | 440$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 73c | 414$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.22 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…5b0ebacked No | 38c | 400.74$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b37…6962backed No | 80c | 376.2$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 77c | 354.57$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.47 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 54c | 350$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.6 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c96…f26abacked No | 36c | 350$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12eb…b79fbacked Yes | 6c | 333.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0a…5e93backed No | 21c | 321.17$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.72 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…1176backed No | 22c | 310$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked Yes | 54c | 306.18$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.34 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…232bbacked No | 25c | 300$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…ec66backed No | 30c | 282.26$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.37 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 70c | 273.7$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.65 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 41c | 272.65$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.65 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 31c | 272.64$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.18 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd62…2b7ebacked No | 74c | 256.86$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked No | 27c | 250$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe006…7ee1backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed Yes | 61c | 249.02$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.23 | 56 | 73.2%41 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed No | 44c | 246.01$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.93 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c49…ee5dbacked No | 41c | 244.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked Yes | 63c | 240$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.4 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -17.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d5…cfb0backed No | 23c | 239.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b14…f687backed No | 66c | 234.36$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…05e9backed No | 27c | 233$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.09 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…51e1backed No | 23c | 223.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +332.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked No | 39c | 221.39$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.34 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…24d5backed No | 45c | 221.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 30c | 220.37$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.99 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f6…4f56backed No | 67c | 217.42$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…1d13backed Yes | 56c | 210$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.