La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid vs. Valencia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29d0a2cb6dbeab30324e0615a9ecd2f556e2a0876dfa3b661f265d514f175853
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 3,117$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.27 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 32c | 3,075$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.13 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 49c | 216.75$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.11 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42a8…81f5backed No | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 38c | 122.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 53c | 111$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 47c | 111$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed9…2deebacked No | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0196…d9f9backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed No | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…7ae2backed No | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…7025backed No | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed No | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid vs. Valencia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Madrid vs. Valencia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Real Madrid (-2.5)Real Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.