Champions League · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb644394db5ca29f6383fcd47dd69bd671315d6fcb49724d89a56aa5c5fd96d49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 10,782$4,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,047.3 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Over | 64c | 8,000$5,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 59c | 5,614$3,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.67 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 36c | 3,020$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.14 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 38c | 2,100$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.07 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Under | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 2c | 1,191$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Under | 40c | 1,088$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.75 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 58c | 1,040$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.23 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 36c | 800.03$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.54 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 62c | 556.45$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.45 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Under | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Over | 61c | 430$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.8 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 17c | 426.83$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…0674backed Over | 69c | 405.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -71%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Over | 64c | 389.06$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.06 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 48cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…20b1backed Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed Over | 59c | 308.39$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Under | 36c | 299.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 64c | 278.13$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.13 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Over | 61c | 270.08$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.33 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -9.9wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Over | 61c | 222$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…a51cbacked Over | 64c | 156.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.27 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…7025backed Over | 64c | 140.63$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Under | 40c | 115.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under | 30c | 113$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Over | 62c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 64c | 69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Over | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…87c2backed Under | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed Over | 58c | 59.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef96…54dfbacked Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8153…c439backed Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0670…2bf0backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1352…4da4backed Over | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117e…331cbacked Over | 64c | 21.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…d27fbacked Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6adb…fac7backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…4b0bbacked Over | 63c | 18.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…878ebacked Over | 64c | 15.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x295c…a424backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.