Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-10-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc5be0ccbae3780c89261bbaf465f1990ce3df0ce230f02639ec6efe29801afe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Yes | 23c | 10,172$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.55 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 17c | 5,155$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.77 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 79c | 3,050$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.5 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 21c | 3,050$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 78c | 2,996$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.69 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 79c | 2,092$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.32 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 20c | 1,505$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.98 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed No | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 22c | 892.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 2c | 533.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 22c | 517$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.65 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 22c | 410.66$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.35 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 77c | 392.03$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.12 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 21c | 339$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Yes | 22c | 239.7$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 22c | 232.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb195…6f85backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…534ebacked Yes | 24c | 208.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 77c | 184.42$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…3e5bbacked No | 79c | 142.24$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 77cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 21c | 141.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…87c2backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.4wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 21c | 122.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes | 21c | 117.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 16c | 107.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 23c | 87.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…ee60backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…d4e0backed No | 77c | 86.39$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3902…43f8backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…15eabacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5a2bbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…a7dabacked Yes | 23c | 56.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 19c | 54.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8491…f31fbacked Yes | 22c | 53.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…35eebacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 77c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…06c7backed No | 78c | 33.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6817…b853backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f2…5c1fbacked No | 78c | 23.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…199dbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-10-26?this page
- Will Bournemouth vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?No won
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.