Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6fbab7ceedc0666471b32543ef8c6ed24e9fe4a0b7b7a5a250d1828653ca83e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56c6…f706backed No | 76c | 2,601$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.18 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 26c | 1,943$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.22 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 24c | 1,284$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.22 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 1,057$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.12 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 74c | 980$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.8 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 72c | 878.61$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.06 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked No | 73c | 749.94$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.48 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 27c | 732.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 76c | 446.46$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.02 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.76 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…7d0ebacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb195…6f85backed Yes | 28c | 359.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c75…e37dbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…792bbacked No | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9539…e9bbbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 76c | 183.33$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…8746backed Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked No | 73c | 113$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…2791backed No | 77c | 99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 15c | 96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…f08dbacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…699bbacked No | 74c | 25.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-26?Yes won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-10-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.