TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Betis win on 2025-09-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,833
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,926

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,833 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f13…e0fdbacked No47c51,742$24,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,209.112035%7 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes56c38,729$21,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,217.744,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes52c11,000$5,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,28024145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Yes54c8,734$4,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,061.35253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes49c7,201$3,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,656.8727453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No43c5,928$2,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,548.917922.8%18 W · 61 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes52c5,874$3,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.527445.9%34 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Yes53c3,500$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6352254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+42.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes56c3,013$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.3427854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked Yes53c2,500$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1651241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes78c2,105$1,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.8314067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88014244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No6c1,356$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3412050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes52c1,342$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.1810956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes56c1,339$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.2928055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No47c1,172$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.779459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No45c1,064$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.3635054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No27c1,032$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.9630743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No44c906.44$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010250%51 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes70c887$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.1840033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed No52c864.26$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4506246.8%29 W · 33 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked Yes53c850$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3963240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No6c841.92$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.723,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked No44c820$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.81241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Yes59c767.1$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.12857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No33c750.58$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.296235.5%22 W · 40 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes52c700$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33620255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedae…584fbacked Yes53c700$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes56c674.19$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.647762.3%48 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Yes54c649.99$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.53060%18 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No49c644.37$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.7424147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No48c627.26$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.4513046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No8c567.8$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.033633.3%12 W · 24 L+5.7wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+76.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.327468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No43c507.3$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21812757.5%73 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes57c499.99$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21518650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No43c427$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.617321.9%16 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No31c406.3$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4925648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1766331.7%20 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No32c395.79$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.226930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked No46c377.02$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20f2…0bc9backed Yes58c343.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.36944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed Yes59c320.34$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.343372.7%24 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+39.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5d41…fa71backed Yes53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1411233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes58c299.99$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1265451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No45c298.99$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.4443255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked No42c297.61$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252060%12 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f1…9599backed Yes52c287.21$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.86742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No48c271.15$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.157653.9%41 W · 35 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Yes52c269.23$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.231631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No42c254.07$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7114854.1%80 W · 68 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes57c245.69$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6911261.6%69 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed No44c236$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.841070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Yes51c219.98$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.191866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+58.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.087045.7%32 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7272…7135backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-51.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes53c198.84$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.664845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes55c176.4$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3815851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Yes52c175$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844465.9%29 W · 15 L+6.8wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+41.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaf6c…2888backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No13c150.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2737039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes59c127.12$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.129949.5%49 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Yes53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.44450%22 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d1…2bddbacked Yes49c117.04$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.69450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+89.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No44c115.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.288939.3%35 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0909…91cabacked Yes55c111.4$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.48858%51 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2052…529fbacked Yes75c104.81$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed No48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011140.5%45 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8657…5741backed Yes59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.69728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-57.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.694961.2%30 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435440.7%22 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No47c99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3350243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e7…87c2backed Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x671f…af9cbacked Yes52c95.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.74580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0523…c48dbacked Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked Yes53c89.15$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.98961.8%55 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Yes53c88$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.365444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf9…c886backed No44c81.82$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-70.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5be5…8d0cbacked Yes52c80.77$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.772744.4%12 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x689d…9b52backed Yes50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes54c79.16$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.413432.4%11 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No45c78.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2329053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.926160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bbe…cd73backed Yes52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.922250%11 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.497072.9%51 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes50c65.98$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.835152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No51c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.417155%94 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x561e…e68ebacked Yes53c58.49$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.491861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4591…df1bbacked Yes57c52.64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.642365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.632161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219353.8%50 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x346e…1eb7backed Yes50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc02…958abacked Yes53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.54126.8%11 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes58c46.55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.553444.1%15 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes76c45.33$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8429038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e5e…93ccbacked Yes53c45.28$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.28977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+34.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x321c…18ddbacked No45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205060%30 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe690…f448backed Yes57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.86944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x340f…a2e7backed Yes52c40.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.381181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick57cpaid+50.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.